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Table 5.4PROJECTIONS OF DAILY TRIP MAKINGBY MODE OF TRAVEL(thousands)Mode1986*1 1991 1996 2001Mass Transit RailwayKowloon-Cantort RailwayNorth-west LRJ2Hong Kong Tramways1 530358032420985722343452242715582374247781758E436Total Rail2212 3249 3913 431EKowloon Motor Bus 3China Motor Bus 3Cross Harbour 4303461233632356714473461726470366379650CTotal Bus398243534657495SMinibus 51 5161 6501 6701 70CHK Yaumati FerryStar Ferry185116159139191162222174Total Ferry301298353396Total scheduled public transportTaxiSpecial Purpose Bus80111 03351795501 076536105931 11955411 3701 162573Total non-scheduled PT1 5501 6121 6731 735Total Public Transport956111 1621226613105Private Car Person Trips1 0861 51820722582Note: Public transport trip-making is in terms of boardings; one trip may involve several boardings (but notcounting changes between trains on the MTR and between buses and/or LRV's on the LRT system).1Public transport boardings from Transport Department for October/November during school term (but see note6 below)2 Including bus feeder services3 Excluding cross-harbour shown separately4 Operated by KMB and CMB5 Red PLBs and Green minibuses6 Observed taxi flows derived from the CTS-2 taxi survey adjusted to traffic counts. They imply a taxi passengeroccupancy about 15 percent lower than Transport Department estimate5.5.75.5.8Taken as a group, road-based modes of public transport dominate, as shown inFigure 5.7. Even with the growth of rail services, road-based public transport isexpected to carry 64% of all public transport services by 2001, compared with 74%in 1986.With the increase in the private car fleet, private car trip making more than doublesand accounts for 16% of total travel demand by 2001.5.5.9 ] Projected growth in road usage is shown in Figure 5.8 by vehicle type, measured interms of daily pcu (equivalent passenger car unit) kilometre. This shows the stronggrowth projected for private car and goods vehicle travel with no changes indemand management policies. On this basis, the share of road space taken by publictransport services (bus, minibus, special purpose bus and taxi) would shrink from38% to 22% between 1986 and 2001. *82
FIGURE 5.7:PROJECTIONS OF DAILY PERSON TRAVELMillions10Road Based PT (Bus,Minibus. Taxi, 8PB)Fsrry1986 1991Committed Projects, No Change In Policy1996 2001FIGURE 5.8:DEMAND FOR ROAD SPACETaxi 382619%1986Goods Vehicle 876642% Taxi 621912%8PB 12483%Bus 22616%PLB 11112%Car 11927%Goods Vehicle 2239761%20012001 Assumes Committed ProjectsAnd No Changes In Transport PoliciesMeasured In thoussnds Of PCU-KM Per DayPCU • Passenger Car Unit5.6 Transport Demand by Corridor and Screenline5.6.1 The growth in passenger movements by scheduled public transport and the growthin total road vehicle movements for selected corridors of movement are shown inTable 5.5 and 5.6 respectively. The corridor locations, comprising the main controllocations for the Annual Traffic Census, are shown in Figure 5.9.
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THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONGLIBRARIE
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EPPrinted and Published by the Gove
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CONTENTSPage6. OF 966.1 Introductio
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Page3.1 Licensed Vehicles 1976-1988
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FIGURES_Page1.1 Special Character o
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Page1.1 Second Comprehensive Transp
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TRANSPORTPER UNIT OF GDPCars Per Th
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KCR Double Tracking &\ Electrificat
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1.2 The Second Comprehensive Transp
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1.2.17 The way in which these recla
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ANNEX1.1Terms of Reference(1) To pr
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2.2.1 introduction2.1.1 This chapte
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2.2: OF THEPROJECTS AND POLICIESFOR
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Transport Networks2.5.2 Description
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2.6.11 Operational Evaluation—The
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3.1GO OLicensed Vehicle Fleets (a]P
Page 34 and 35: Table 3.3 VEHICLE(Dollars per year)
Page 36 and 37: 3.2.7 The car and motorcycle fleet
Page 38 and 39: 3.2.14 The non-van goods vehicle fl
Page 40 and 41: 3.2.23 Use of Light Vans as Private
Page 42 and 43: 3.3 Road Usage and Road Constructio
Page 44 and 45: FIGURE 3.11:TRAFFIC IN URBAN HONG K
Page 46 and 47: FIGURE 3.14:TRAFFIC IN THE NEW TERR
Page 48 and 49: Table 3.6 CROSS HARBOUR TUNNEL TOLL
Page 50 and 51: 3.5 Public Transport Patronage3.5.1
Page 52 and 53: 3.5.4 The growth in rail transport
Page 54 and 55: taxi productivity. The average paid
Page 56 and 57: 4.4.1 introduction4.1.1 Demand for
Page 58 and 59: Table 4.2DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION
Page 60 and 61: AreaTable 4.4Hong Kong islandKowioo
Page 62 and 63: 4.2.14 An additional 425 000 jobs i
Page 64 and 65: 4.3(1986-2001)Growth Over 1988Perio
Page 66 and 67: included in the financial costs. Pe
Page 68 and 69: 4.5 International Traffic4.5.1 Proj
Page 70 and 71: Cross Border Rail Passenger Traffic
Page 72 and 73: Table 4.17IN(1971-1989)HighwayPrice
Page 74 and 75: contribution of Government equity t
Page 76 and 77: 5. FORECASTS OF THE TRANSPORT SCENE
Page 78 and 79: FIGURE 5.2:PROJECTED DAILY TRIP MAK
Page 80 and 81: FIGURE 5.3: 1986 GENERATIONS AND AT
Page 82 and 83: FIGURE 5.5: PERSON TRAVEL DEMAND(CO
Page 86 and 87: Table 5.5 SCHEDULED PUBLIC BY(thous
Page 88 and 89: • FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIRMA ON SHANH
Page 90 and 91: Cars and taxis 1.00Minibus/Special
Page 92 and 93: LEGEND V/C Ratio Range• 1.1 - 1.2
Page 94 and 95: •Vf'rLEGEND V/C Ratio Range> 1.1
Page 96 and 97: FIGURE 5.13:TRAFFIC SPEEDS BY ROAD
Page 98 and 99: 6. OF6.1 Introduction6.1.1 This cha
Page 100 and 101: LEGENDMajor Committed Road ProjectK
Page 102 and 103: LEGENDCandidate Road ProjectKowloon
Page 104 and 105: A V/C ratio of 1.0 or less indicate
Page 106 and 107: Table 6.3 SUMMARY OF HIGHWAY PORJEC
Page 108 and 109: 6.5.1 2 The traffic implications of
Page 110 and 111: 6.5.27 it is estimated that traffic
Page 112 and 113: 6.7 and Airport Tunnel6.7.1 The Hun
Page 114 and 115: 6.9.5 Conclusions— This is likely
Page 116 and 117: 6.4(1988 Prices)ProjectLocFinancial
Page 118 and 119: sufficient detail to permit compute
Page 120 and 121: LEGENDMTR £_EHC LRT(under vL} cons
Page 122 and 123: 7.1Peak TramHong KongTramwaysKowloo
Page 124 and 125: MTR/KCR Interchange7.2.14 A key tra
Page 126 and 127: day, particularly in the peak hour.
Page 128 and 129: Impacts on Urban Development7.3.28
Page 130 and 131: 7.4.2 The East Kowloon Line would s
Page 132 and 133: 7.4.1 2 Both the financial return a
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7.5.17 Patronage and economic resul
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Rail Operations7.6.15 Two proposals
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passenger services. Also, while lig
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.S.Bi ne economic evaluation or tne
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Conclusions7.9.15 At the projected
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7.11.4 With an extension to Star Fe
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7.13.7 It is estimated that the LRT
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Conclusions7.14.13 Both harbour cro
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7.15.14 Financial support for the n
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FIGURE 8.1: PASSENGER TRANSPORT BY
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Railways8.2.6 Rail services began t
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Table 8.2PROJECTED DEMAND FOR SCHED
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FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIYUENLONGMA ON SH
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severe on the MTR island Line where
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8.4.10 The KCR main Sine is expecte
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Cross Harbour Bus Operations8.5.9 T
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8.7.3 In the New Territories, the r
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ail corridor is now operating at fu
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urban area, the short term means of
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(2) More vehicles are required to d
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are classified under Vehicle Owners
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9.5.5 Supplementary Licences—Thes
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9.5.19 Controls are required on bot
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Park and Hide9.6.4 This policy prom
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Alternative Scenarios for the Evalu
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9.7.18 Thus although the Centra! ec
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9.3 INNumber of vehs (thous)CarsTax
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Table 9.4ON(Increases in goods vehi
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9.11.3 The specific scheme chosen w
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Table 9.5(Similar to Scheme B inves
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traffic assessments. If the increas
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10 ON10.1 Introduction10.1.1 This c
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10.2.9 There are clearly some possi
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Railway Funding10.3.11 An expenditu
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Private Car Controls10.5.9 It is re
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c:,LEGEND V/C Ratio Range1.1 - 1.2>
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10.6.4 Several roads are projected
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o1991 Committed1996 Recommended Str
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operation and operator. Much depend
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ANNEX 10.1PROJECTIONS OF THE VEHICL
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ANNEX 10.4BY(thousand vehicles per
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TOC
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