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10.6.4 Several roads are projected to exceed a V/C ratio of 1,0 by 2001, despite the newhighways and traffic growth management policies of the recommended transportstrategy. Some highways are projected to exceed a V/C of 1.2; in particular, ToloHighway and Tas Po Road (which would additionally be affected if cross-bordertraffic increases faster than expected), the Peak and Mid-levels region of Hong KongIsland, and sections of Pokfulann Road. Given the uncertainties attached to theprojected developments, no specific action in the areas is recommended at thepresent time, but traffic growth should be monitored by region as a basis for futureaction.10.6.5 It should also be noted that over half of the existing roads are now reaching the endof their design life and will require rehabilitation or re-construction in the next 10-15years. Also, continuing economic growth and development will lead to increasingdemand for utility services, and this often means additional pipes and cables to belaid under the road bed. These essential works, together with works associated withnew highway construction, will inevitably lead to some additional localised andshort term congestion problems.10.6.6 Figures 10.3 and 10.4 show peak speeds for local and trunk roads by area which alsocompared with the 2001- committed scenario. In each case, speeds will deterioratefrom 1986 levels in the 2001 committed situation, but are restored to around the1986 levels by the recommended strategy.Projected Rail Traffic10.6.7 Figure 10.5 shows the projected passenger demand for the Territory urban railsystem, including the three rail projects recommended for construction in the early1990s: the Junk Bay extension, the Northwest New Territories urban link (assumedhere to terminate in Yuen Long) and the Yau Ma Tei to Fortress cross-harbour link.Even with the recommended rail projects, the Nathan Road Corridor of the MTR isexpected to be heavily patronised, and fare incentives are recommended to spreadthe peak hour demand and to encourage maximum use of the Eastern HarbourCrossing. It is expected that the KCR will have adequate capacity to carry theprojected loads, initially by increasing train length up to the maximum of 12 cars pertrain, and later by upgrading the signalling system to permit closer train headways inthe peak hour. Improvements will also be necessary at KCR stations to improvepassenger handling facilities.10.7 Implications of a Relocated Airport10.7.1 Based on the findings of the various airport studies underway, including the Portand Airport Development Strategy (PADS), Government is expected to makedecisions by the end of 1989 on whether or not to build a replacement airport.Sensitivity tests were undertaken in CTS-2 for the year 2001 in order to assess theimpact of a new airport on the recommended transport strategy.10.7.2 CTS-2 looked at just two alternatives for the year 2001, one assuming that theairport would be relocated to Chek Lap Kok on the north side of Lantau Island and asecond with the airport relocated to reclaimed land in the Western Harbour. In eachcase, new port facilities on Lantau Island were included. It was assumed that anexpressway would connect the new airport and port facilities to the existingtransport system. For the Lantau site, the connection was from North Lantau to aninterchange with Route 3 on Tsing Yi Island; for the Harbour site, the connectionwas to Route 7 on Hong Kong Island in the vicinity of Telegraph Bay.10.7.3 No rail connections to the airport were assumed for 2001; the timing of such a linkwould depend on the build-up of new population and employment at the newairport site.204
FIGURE 10.3:PEAK LOCAL ROAD SPEEDS BY AREACentral and WesternWan ChaiEasternSouthernYau Ma TelMong KokSham Shui PoKowloon CityWong Tai SinKwun TongTsuen WanSha TinOther NT19862001 COM2001 STR0 6 10 15 20 25 30 35Average Traffic Speed (km/h)Includes Rural Local,Urban Local And Urban Dlatrict RoadaCOM - Committed, STR • StrategyFIGURE 10.4:PEAK TRUNK ROAD SPEEDS BY AREACentral and WesternWan ChalEasternSouthernYau Ma TelMong KokSham Shut PoKowloon CityWong Tai SinKwun TongTsuen WanSha TinOther NT19862001 COM2001 STR0 10 20 30 40 50Average Traffic Speed (km/h)Includes Rural Trunk,Urban Trunk And Urban Primary RoadaCOM • Committed, STR - Strategy205
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THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONGLIBRARIE
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EPPrinted and Published by the Gove
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CONTENTSPage6. OF 966.1 Introductio
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Page3.1 Licensed Vehicles 1976-1988
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FIGURES_Page1.1 Special Character o
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Page1.1 Second Comprehensive Transp
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TRANSPORTPER UNIT OF GDPCars Per Th
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KCR Double Tracking &\ Electrificat
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1.2 The Second Comprehensive Transp
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1.2.17 The way in which these recla
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ANNEX1.1Terms of Reference(1) To pr
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2.2.1 introduction2.1.1 This chapte
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2.2: OF THEPROJECTS AND POLICIESFOR
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Transport Networks2.5.2 Description
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2.6.11 Operational Evaluation—The
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3.1GO OLicensed Vehicle Fleets (a]P
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Table 3.3 VEHICLE(Dollars per year)
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3.2.7 The car and motorcycle fleet
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3.2.14 The non-van goods vehicle fl
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3.2.23 Use of Light Vans as Private
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3.3 Road Usage and Road Constructio
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FIGURE 3.11:TRAFFIC IN URBAN HONG K
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FIGURE 3.14:TRAFFIC IN THE NEW TERR
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Table 3.6 CROSS HARBOUR TUNNEL TOLL
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3.5 Public Transport Patronage3.5.1
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3.5.4 The growth in rail transport
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taxi productivity. The average paid
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4.4.1 introduction4.1.1 Demand for
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Table 4.2DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION
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AreaTable 4.4Hong Kong islandKowioo
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4.2.14 An additional 425 000 jobs i
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4.3(1986-2001)Growth Over 1988Perio
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included in the financial costs. Pe
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4.5 International Traffic4.5.1 Proj
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Cross Border Rail Passenger Traffic
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Table 4.17IN(1971-1989)HighwayPrice
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contribution of Government equity t
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5. FORECASTS OF THE TRANSPORT SCENE
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FIGURE 5.2:PROJECTED DAILY TRIP MAK
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FIGURE 5.3: 1986 GENERATIONS AND AT
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FIGURE 5.5: PERSON TRAVEL DEMAND(CO
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Table 5.4PROJECTIONS OF DAILY TRIP
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Table 5.5 SCHEDULED PUBLIC BY(thous
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• FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIRMA ON SHANH
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Cars and taxis 1.00Minibus/Special
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LEGEND V/C Ratio Range• 1.1 - 1.2
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•Vf'rLEGEND V/C Ratio Range> 1.1
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FIGURE 5.13:TRAFFIC SPEEDS BY ROAD
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6. OF6.1 Introduction6.1.1 This cha
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LEGENDMajor Committed Road ProjectK
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LEGENDCandidate Road ProjectKowloon
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A V/C ratio of 1.0 or less indicate
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Table 6.3 SUMMARY OF HIGHWAY PORJEC
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6.5.1 2 The traffic implications of
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6.5.27 it is estimated that traffic
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6.7 and Airport Tunnel6.7.1 The Hun
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6.9.5 Conclusions— This is likely
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6.4(1988 Prices)ProjectLocFinancial
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sufficient detail to permit compute
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LEGENDMTR £_EHC LRT(under vL} cons
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7.1Peak TramHong KongTramwaysKowloo
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MTR/KCR Interchange7.2.14 A key tra
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day, particularly in the peak hour.
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Impacts on Urban Development7.3.28
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7.4.2 The East Kowloon Line would s
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7.4.1 2 Both the financial return a
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7.5.17 Patronage and economic resul
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Rail Operations7.6.15 Two proposals
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passenger services. Also, while lig
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.S.Bi ne economic evaluation or tne
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Conclusions7.9.15 At the projected
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7.11.4 With an extension to Star Fe
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7.13.7 It is estimated that the LRT
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Conclusions7.14.13 Both harbour cro
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7.15.14 Financial support for the n
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FIGURE 8.1: PASSENGER TRANSPORT BY
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Railways8.2.6 Rail services began t
Page 156 and 157: Table 8.2PROJECTED DEMAND FOR SCHED
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Page 160 and 161: severe on the MTR island Line where
Page 162 and 163: 8.4.10 The KCR main Sine is expecte
Page 164 and 165: Cross Harbour Bus Operations8.5.9 T
Page 166 and 167: 8.7.3 In the New Territories, the r
Page 168 and 169: ail corridor is now operating at fu
Page 170 and 171: urban area, the short term means of
Page 172 and 173: (2) More vehicles are required to d
Page 174 and 175: are classified under Vehicle Owners
Page 176 and 177: 9.5.5 Supplementary Licences—Thes
Page 178 and 179: 9.5.19 Controls are required on bot
Page 180 and 181: Park and Hide9.6.4 This policy prom
Page 182 and 183: Alternative Scenarios for the Evalu
Page 184 and 185: 9.7.18 Thus although the Centra! ec
Page 186 and 187: 9.3 INNumber of vehs (thous)CarsTax
Page 188 and 189: Table 9.4ON(Increases in goods vehi
Page 190 and 191: 9.11.3 The specific scheme chosen w
Page 192 and 193: Table 9.5(Similar to Scheme B inves
Page 194 and 195: traffic assessments. If the increas
Page 196 and 197: 10 ON10.1 Introduction10.1.1 This c
Page 198 and 199: 10.2.9 There are clearly some possi
Page 200 and 201: Railway Funding10.3.11 An expenditu
Page 202 and 203: Private Car Controls10.5.9 It is re
Page 204 and 205: c:,LEGEND V/C Ratio Range1.1 - 1.2>
Page 208 and 209: o1991 Committed1996 Recommended Str
Page 210 and 211: operation and operator. Much depend
Page 212 and 213: ANNEX 10.1PROJECTIONS OF THE VEHICL
Page 214 and 215: ANNEX 10.4BY(thousand vehicles per
Page 216 and 217: TOC
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