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1.2.17 The way in which these reclamations are developed, and their timing, is ofconsiderable importance to the Territory transport strategy. They will afford opportunitiesfor developing high class transport links close to the main business districts.However, they will aiso impose their own demands on the transport system, andthese could be considerable. Thus the outcome of the reclamation studies will be amajor input to the continuing work of CTS.1.2.18 Metroplan— Metroplan is a study to prepare a comprehensive master plan for theupgrading and "redevelopment of the main urban area encompassing Hong KongIsland, Kowloon and Tsuen Wan. Many districts were built to very high densities as aresult of the rapid public housing development programmes of the 1950s and 1960s:parts of these districts are now in a decaying condition and lack essential communityamenities. Housing Authority is planning a comprehensive redevelopment programmewhich aims to redevelop all old housing blocks by 2001.1.2.19 Transport considerations will be a very important element of Metroplan, andTransport Department will be closely involved in the project.Continuing Nature of the CTS Study1.2.20 Fixed master plans are of dubious value in a rapidly developing and changingsociety; too many factors can change to undermine the assumptions in the plan. Totake just one example, in parallel with CTS-2, the Government has been exploringdevelopment options for a replacement airport. Ciearly, a decision to move theairport would have major implications for the re-development of Kowloon and onthe transport strategy for this area.1.2.21 Because of the uncertainty associated with future developments, it was plannedfrom the outset that CTS-2 should be the start of a continuing process. This decisionhad institutional implications (see later in Section 1.4) but also affected the thrust ofthe analyses of CTS-2. Therefore, while the Study has prepared an investment planto cover the entire planning period of the Study (1986-2001), the emphasis was onidentifying projects for implementation within the next few years. Subject toapproval, these will be the projects which will go forward into the public worksprogramme. Another important element of the Study is the analysis of transportpolicy issues which will be,a useful tool to manage transport demands to acceptablelevels.1.2.22 It is intended that a special division of Government will carry on the CTS process,• using the techniques and procedures set up during CTS-2. Thus later projects in theCTS-2 programme, as well as transport policies, will be re-assessed at regularintervals in the light of actual developments and changes in Territory forecasts.Always the emphasis will be on identifying the projects for immediate planning andconstruction within the framework of longer term plans. In this way, the transportstrategy will be continually updated to meet the changing needs of Hong Kong.1.3 Contents of the Report1.3.1 The report is written in ten chapters, as follows:Chapter 11ntroduction—giving the background to the Study work.Chapter 2 Study Approach—describing briefly the main data sources and Studymethodology.Chapter 3 Transport Trends and Issues—presenting an overview of developments intransport in Hong Kong over recent years, and commenting on the issues raised.Chapter 4 Planning Characteristics and Projections—describing the main assumptionsof the Study concerning future development of the Territory, set in the contextof the recent past.18
Chapter 5 Forecasts of the Transport Scene—detailing projections of traffic up to theyear 2001 assuming compietion of only those highway and railway projects alreadyin construction or otherwise committed, and the continuation of current transportpolicies; this chapter provides the transport background against which CTS-2recommendations on new projects and policies were developed.Chapter 8 Evaluation of Highway Projects—describing the evaluation of newhighways and selection of a highway investment programme.Chapter 7 Evaluation of New Passenger Rail Lines—describing the evaluation ofnew passenger rail lines and selection of a railway development programme.Chapter 8 Public Transport Operations—discussing the future operations of publictransport services and the issues these raise.Chapter 9 Policies for the Management of Transport Demand—dealing with transportpolicy issues, particularly those concerned with managing transport demand.Chapter 10 Conclusions and Recommendations on Transport Strategy—presentingthe conclusions and recommendations of CTS-2 on the future development oftransport in Hong Kong.1.3.2 In addition, there are a number of technical appendices prepared during the Studywhich describe in detail the assumptions made and the study results obtained ineach series of computer tests.19
Page 2 and 3: THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONGLIBRARIE
Page 4 and 5: EPPrinted and Published by the Gove
Page 6 and 7: CONTENTSPage6. OF 966.1 Introductio
Page 8 and 9: Page3.1 Licensed Vehicles 1976-1988
Page 10 and 11: FIGURES_Page1.1 Special Character o
Page 12 and 13: Page1.1 Second Comprehensive Transp
Page 14 and 15: TRANSPORTPER UNIT OF GDPCars Per Th
Page 16 and 17: KCR Double Tracking &\ Electrificat
Page 18 and 19: 1.2 The Second Comprehensive Transp
Page 22 and 23: ANNEX1.1Terms of Reference(1) To pr
Page 24 and 25: 2.2.1 introduction2.1.1 This chapte
Page 26 and 27: 2.2: OF THEPROJECTS AND POLICIESFOR
Page 28 and 29: Transport Networks2.5.2 Description
Page 30 and 31: 2.6.11 Operational Evaluation—The
Page 32 and 33: 3.1GO OLicensed Vehicle Fleets (a]P
Page 34 and 35: Table 3.3 VEHICLE(Dollars per year)
Page 36 and 37: 3.2.7 The car and motorcycle fleet
Page 38 and 39: 3.2.14 The non-van goods vehicle fl
Page 40 and 41: 3.2.23 Use of Light Vans as Private
Page 42 and 43: 3.3 Road Usage and Road Constructio
Page 44 and 45: FIGURE 3.11:TRAFFIC IN URBAN HONG K
Page 46 and 47: FIGURE 3.14:TRAFFIC IN THE NEW TERR
Page 48 and 49: Table 3.6 CROSS HARBOUR TUNNEL TOLL
Page 50 and 51: 3.5 Public Transport Patronage3.5.1
Page 52 and 53: 3.5.4 The growth in rail transport
Page 54 and 55: taxi productivity. The average paid
Page 56 and 57: 4.4.1 introduction4.1.1 Demand for
Page 58 and 59: Table 4.2DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION
Page 60 and 61: AreaTable 4.4Hong Kong islandKowioo
Page 62 and 63: 4.2.14 An additional 425 000 jobs i
Page 64 and 65: 4.3(1986-2001)Growth Over 1988Perio
Page 66 and 67: included in the financial costs. Pe
Page 68 and 69: 4.5 International Traffic4.5.1 Proj
Page 70 and 71:
Cross Border Rail Passenger Traffic
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Table 4.17IN(1971-1989)HighwayPrice
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contribution of Government equity t
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5. FORECASTS OF THE TRANSPORT SCENE
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FIGURE 5.2:PROJECTED DAILY TRIP MAK
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FIGURE 5.3: 1986 GENERATIONS AND AT
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FIGURE 5.5: PERSON TRAVEL DEMAND(CO
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Table 5.4PROJECTIONS OF DAILY TRIP
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Table 5.5 SCHEDULED PUBLIC BY(thous
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• FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIRMA ON SHANH
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Cars and taxis 1.00Minibus/Special
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LEGEND V/C Ratio Range• 1.1 - 1.2
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•Vf'rLEGEND V/C Ratio Range> 1.1
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FIGURE 5.13:TRAFFIC SPEEDS BY ROAD
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6. OF6.1 Introduction6.1.1 This cha
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LEGENDMajor Committed Road ProjectK
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LEGENDCandidate Road ProjectKowloon
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A V/C ratio of 1.0 or less indicate
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Table 6.3 SUMMARY OF HIGHWAY PORJEC
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6.5.1 2 The traffic implications of
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6.5.27 it is estimated that traffic
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6.7 and Airport Tunnel6.7.1 The Hun
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6.9.5 Conclusions— This is likely
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6.4(1988 Prices)ProjectLocFinancial
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sufficient detail to permit compute
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LEGENDMTR £_EHC LRT(under vL} cons
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7.1Peak TramHong KongTramwaysKowloo
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MTR/KCR Interchange7.2.14 A key tra
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day, particularly in the peak hour.
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Impacts on Urban Development7.3.28
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7.4.2 The East Kowloon Line would s
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7.4.1 2 Both the financial return a
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7.5.17 Patronage and economic resul
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Rail Operations7.6.15 Two proposals
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passenger services. Also, while lig
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.S.Bi ne economic evaluation or tne
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Conclusions7.9.15 At the projected
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7.11.4 With an extension to Star Fe
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7.13.7 It is estimated that the LRT
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Conclusions7.14.13 Both harbour cro
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7.15.14 Financial support for the n
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FIGURE 8.1: PASSENGER TRANSPORT BY
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Railways8.2.6 Rail services began t
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Table 8.2PROJECTED DEMAND FOR SCHED
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FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIYUENLONGMA ON SH
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severe on the MTR island Line where
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8.4.10 The KCR main Sine is expecte
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Cross Harbour Bus Operations8.5.9 T
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8.7.3 In the New Territories, the r
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ail corridor is now operating at fu
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urban area, the short term means of
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(2) More vehicles are required to d
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are classified under Vehicle Owners
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9.5.5 Supplementary Licences—Thes
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9.5.19 Controls are required on bot
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Park and Hide9.6.4 This policy prom
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Alternative Scenarios for the Evalu
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9.7.18 Thus although the Centra! ec
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9.3 INNumber of vehs (thous)CarsTax
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Table 9.4ON(Increases in goods vehi
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9.11.3 The specific scheme chosen w
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Table 9.5(Similar to Scheme B inves
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traffic assessments. If the increas
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10 ON10.1 Introduction10.1.1 This c
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10.2.9 There are clearly some possi
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Railway Funding10.3.11 An expenditu
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Private Car Controls10.5.9 It is re
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c:,LEGEND V/C Ratio Range1.1 - 1.2>
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10.6.4 Several roads are projected
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o1991 Committed1996 Recommended Str
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operation and operator. Much depend
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ANNEX 10.1PROJECTIONS OF THE VEHICL
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ANNEX 10.4BY(thousand vehicles per
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TOC
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