25.01.2013 Views

Four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global ... - Amper

Four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global ... - Amper

Four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global ... - Amper

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

104 F. Fung et al.<br />

(a)<br />

(b)<br />

(c)<br />

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500<br />

(mm yr –1 )<br />

0 200 400 600 800<br />

(mm yr –1 )<br />

0 1000 2000 3000<br />

Figure 1. (a) Global mean annual precipitation, (b) mean annual surface run-off <strong>and</strong> (c) river basin<br />

WSI <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> baseline period (1961–1990).<br />

Total MAR <strong>and</strong> total population have been calculated <strong>and</strong> used to compute <strong>the</strong><br />

WSI <strong>for</strong> 112 large river basins across <strong>the</strong> globe <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> baseline period (figure 1c).<br />

The cells have been aggregated to <strong>the</strong> river basin level as a cell-by-cell analysis of<br />

<strong>the</strong> WSI would distort <strong>the</strong> results <strong>and</strong> represent a highly water-stressed world as<br />

transfers <strong>and</strong> reallocation of water by rivers, canals or pipelines from one part of<br />

a river basin to ano<strong>the</strong>r would be ignored [9]. The WSI can be converted into <strong>the</strong><br />

popular Falkenmark stress indicator where populations showing water availability<br />

Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A (2011)<br />

Downloaded from<br />

rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org on November 30, 2010

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!