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Four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global ... - Amper

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[89,94,95]<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r acidification by up to 0.07 pH units;<br />

some damage to marine ecosystems<br />

oceans fur<strong>the</strong>r mean acidification by 0.26 pH units (in addition<br />

to <strong>the</strong> present-day change of 0.1 units); risk of<br />

disruption to marine ecosystems; risk of localized<br />

ocean anoxia<br />

extreme 50% flood-prone people exposed to increased hazard; 25% flood-prone people exposed to increased hazard; [27,96]<br />

wea<strong>the</strong>r flood-affected population rises to 544 million annually flood-affected population rises to 211 million<br />

(as defined by those experiencing a present-day 1 in annually<br />

100 year flood)<br />

human health health hazards increasingly difficult to control hazards reduced [51]<br />

Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A (2011)<br />

Downloaded from<br />

rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org on November 30, 2010<br />

Review. Interactions in a 4 ◦ C world 225<br />

[32,52,77,89,<br />

93,98,99]<br />

much reduced risk of loss of terrestrial<br />

carbon sink; Amazon likely to remain<br />

largely intact<br />

loss of terrestrial carbon sink <strong>and</strong> hence large-scale loss<br />

of <strong>for</strong>ests via dessication <strong>and</strong> fire (<strong>potential</strong>ly<br />

including up to 50% Amazon (excluding<br />

de<strong>for</strong>estation) <strong>and</strong> uncertain fraction of boreal <strong>for</strong>est)<br />

impacts of<br />

feedback<br />

processes in<br />

<strong>the</strong> Earth<br />

system

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