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Peak Oil Task Force Report - City of Bloomington - State of Indiana

Peak Oil Task Force Report - City of Bloomington - State of Indiana

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The “Hubbert Curve.” Decades ago, Hubbert predicted oil production would peak in 2000. It turns out Hubbert<br />

was not exactly right, but pretty close. Source: Wikimedia Commons<br />

When this <strong>Task</strong> <strong>Force</strong> began its work in March 2008, there was a sense that the peak might<br />

still be a few years away. However, it is now clear that peak may have arrived while we<br />

went about our work. It is likely that the world will never again produce or be able to<br />

produce as much oil in a single year as it did in 2008. Production reached a plateau in 2005<br />

and barely budged above that the plateau through 2008, despite a record oil price <strong>of</strong> $147 a<br />

barrel recorded in July. That month, the price <strong>of</strong> a gallon <strong>of</strong> unleaded gasoline rose to over<br />

$4.00 a gallon in <strong>Bloomington</strong> and as high as $5.00 a gallon in other parts <strong>of</strong> the county.<br />

Subsequently, as we all know, the market price <strong>of</strong> oil – and the price <strong>of</strong> unleaded –<br />

plummeted. This was not because <strong>of</strong> an increase in production, but because <strong>of</strong> a huge drop<br />

in demand. In fact, oil production is down significantly. The Organization <strong>of</strong> Petroleum<br />

Exporting Countries (OPEC) in particular has reduced its output in an attempt to set a<br />

bottom limit to the price. In the meantime, exploration for new oil fields and much<br />

development <strong>of</strong> previously‐identified but hitherto unexploited fields has been put on hold.<br />

As the economy begins to recover from its worst nosedive since the Great Depression,<br />

<strong>Report</strong> <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Bloomington</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Task</strong> <strong>Force</strong><br />

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