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Peak Oil Task Force Report - City of Bloomington - State of Indiana

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Preface<br />

Our society is reaching a turning point. Very soon, perhaps already, a key energy and<br />

material resource will reach a historic transition. This point, known as “peak oil,” will<br />

usher in a new age – <strong>of</strong> declining capacity to supply society with an energy source<br />

unmatched in energy density, net energy return, scale, and ease <strong>of</strong> use.<br />

<strong>Peak</strong> production has occurred before in fields, regions and nations – the United <strong>State</strong>s<br />

<strong>of</strong>fering the most famous example – but now we stand poised to peak globally. Because oil<br />

is a finite, non‐renewable resource, a worldwide decline in production is inevitable.<br />

<strong>Peak</strong> oil will necessitate many changes in society. It is difficult to imagine how we can<br />

continue a transportation‐intensive culture without this key resource. Similarly, most <strong>of</strong><br />

industrial agriculture relies on fossil fuel inputs. Indeed, oil is a feedstock <strong>of</strong> a truly<br />

massive array <strong>of</strong> products. And economic growth, entailing ever‐greater throughput <strong>of</strong><br />

materials and increasing consumption, has depended on expanding energy availability.<br />

The consequences <strong>of</strong> oil production decline are therefore serious. It may be difficult to fully<br />

grasp and acknowledge the implications. Can the future be so different than today? Ten<br />

years ago, few would have predicted the collapse <strong>of</strong> a paramount blue chip institution such<br />

as General Motors. And few astute political commentators would have predicted the<br />

election <strong>of</strong> an African American President <strong>of</strong> the United <strong>State</strong>s. The collapse <strong>of</strong> the former<br />

Soviet Union and the rise <strong>of</strong> global communications via the internet are also testaments to<br />

rapid change in a very short time.<br />

The changes implied by peak oil are immense, and thus will require preparation and<br />

planning commensurate with the size <strong>of</strong> the problem.<br />

The transition to a post‐peak oil world will likely entail the shortening <strong>of</strong> commercial and<br />

trade supply lines and the relocalization <strong>of</strong> essential community needs, such as food<br />

production. Products that require little oil in their composition and manufacturing will be<br />

favored. We will have to develop and employ new technologies that are both<br />

environmentally benign and based on renewable resources and energy. There will also be<br />

a need for skills that have been neglected in the age <strong>of</strong> cheap energy, and knowledge<br />

thought to be outdated and obsolete. Prosperity may take on new meaning – from a simple<br />

metric <strong>of</strong> accumulated money to a broader meaning <strong>of</strong> community well being, security, and<br />

commonwealth.<br />

On the most basic level, peak oil, climate change, and a host <strong>of</strong> other environmental crises<br />

require that we recognize and live within the limits <strong>of</strong> our biosphere. This is the challenge<br />

and opportunity that we have before us today. We hope that this report contributes to a<br />

prosperous and resilient future.<br />

Dave Rollo<br />

Chair, <strong>Bloomington</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Task</strong> <strong>Force</strong><br />

<strong>Report</strong> <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Bloomington</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Task</strong> <strong>Force</strong> i

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