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Download the report - Femise

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<strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical values of <strong>the</strong> relative net human capital that are given by <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical<br />

model (<strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical H/H0).<br />

The observed relative human capital is obtained from <strong>the</strong> database considering <strong>the</strong> lowest<br />

value of m as corresponding to H0 with H as related to <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r values of <strong>the</strong> emigration<br />

rates (human capital is considered to be <strong>the</strong> variable Total number of physicians). This<br />

allows for <strong>the</strong> computation of <strong>the</strong> observed H/H0. Then we have performed of a t-test to<br />

compare <strong>the</strong> means of <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical and observed relative human capital in each<br />

country. If <strong>the</strong>re is no evidence for rejecting <strong>the</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>sis of equality of means for<br />

<strong>the</strong>oretical and observed values <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> model can be validated.<br />

B.4.a. ECE Countries<br />

The following tables introduce <strong>the</strong> results of comparisons between observed and<br />

<strong>the</strong>oretical relative human capital for each ECE country with available data. Firstly, we<br />

have computed <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical relative human capital under risk neutrality and by using<br />

<strong>the</strong> gamma estimated in previous tables for each country and a gamma equal with 0.25, a<br />

fixed value of productivity of education. These values are compared with <strong>the</strong> relative<br />

human capital observed. The detailed results could be found in Appendix 2. In Slovakia<br />

we have obtained that <strong>the</strong>re is no evidence for rejecting <strong>the</strong> null hypo<strong>the</strong>sis with a<br />

significance level of 0.05. Therefore <strong>the</strong> model could be validated under risk neutrality.<br />

For all o<strong>the</strong>r countries, <strong>the</strong> null hypo<strong>the</strong>sis is rejected with <strong>the</strong> level of significance of<br />

0.05. This means that <strong>the</strong> observed and <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical means are proved to be different.<br />

Therefore, <strong>the</strong> models cannot be validated under risk neutrality for Bulgaria, Czech<br />

Republic, Lithuania, Hungary, Poland and Romania (Table II.1.3.10).<br />

Afterward we have computed <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical relative human capital under three risk<br />

aversion hypo<strong>the</strong>ses, with alpha 0.33, 0.5 and 0.75 and by using <strong>the</strong> gamma estimated<br />

before for each country. These values are compared with <strong>the</strong> relative human capital<br />

observed. The detailed results could be found in Appendix 2.<br />

In Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Slovakia <strong>the</strong>re is no evidence for rejecting<br />

<strong>the</strong> null hypo<strong>the</strong>sis with a significance level of 0.01 under risk aversion with alpha equal<br />

to 0.5. Therefore in Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Slovakia, <strong>the</strong> model could<br />

be validated under risk aversion with alpha equal with 0.5. In Czech Republic, Lithuania<br />

and Slovakia <strong>the</strong>re is no evidence for rejecting <strong>the</strong> null hypo<strong>the</strong>sis with a significance<br />

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