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Kerala 2005 - of Planning Commission

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74<br />

Table 5.1: Growth <strong>of</strong> Working Age Population, 1961-2021<br />

Population (in ‘000) 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021<br />

All Age Groups 16,904 21,347 25,454 29,099 33,082 36,742 39,523<br />

Working Ages (20-59) 7,277 9,158 11,770 14,830 18,347 20,873 22,478<br />

15-24 2,867 4,275 5,320 6,147 5,810 5,557 5,716<br />

25-44 4,129 5,106 6,460 8,327 10,746 11,686 11,246<br />

45-59 1,714 2,122 2,793 3,383 4,619 6,474 8,279<br />

Growth Rates (%)<br />

Total 2.33 1.76 1.34 1.28 1.05 0.73<br />

Working Ages (20- 59) 2.3 2.51 2.31 2.13 1.29 0.74<br />

15-24 3.99 2.19 1.45 -0.56 -0.45 0.28<br />

25-44 2.12 2.35 2.54 2.55 0.84 -0.38<br />

45-59 2.14 2.74 1.92 3.12 3.38 2.46<br />

Source: Tharakan and Navaneetham (1999).<br />

It is significant to note that the net addition to the population<br />

in the age group 15-24 has been declining since 1991.<br />

The same trend is translated to the next age group <strong>of</strong> 25-34<br />

after 10 years, that is, from the year 2001, when the former<br />

age group matures. Since the overall unemployment rate<br />

is mainly from this age group <strong>of</strong> 15-34, these demographic<br />

changes in the age group are likely to ease the unemployment<br />

problem in the State. Also, the reduction in the net supply<br />

<strong>of</strong> labour force in the younger age groups may increase<br />

wages for them, thereby increasing real income levels <strong>of</strong><br />

their families.<br />

2.1.4 Demographic Transition<br />

and Human Development<br />

Though several studies have identified an inverse static<br />

relationship between female education and fertility levels,<br />

recent researches show that there is a dynamic relationship<br />

too. Studies have shown that higher female literacy was a<br />

dominant factor for fertility decline, which started around<br />

the 1960s in <strong>Kerala</strong>. This decline in fertility was not only<br />

among educated parents, but also among the illiterate<br />

and low economic status groups. This enabled parents in

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