Kerala 2005 - of Planning Commission
Kerala 2005 - of Planning Commission
Kerala 2005 - of Planning Commission
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CHAPTER 8<br />
LOOKING AHEAD: POSSIBILITIES AND STRATEGIES<br />
129<br />
in <strong>Kerala</strong>, both by themselves and others who have been<br />
associated with them as a matter <strong>of</strong> ‘demonstration effect’.<br />
These are in small and medium industries, with modern<br />
technology and organisation, construction, trade, hotels<br />
and restaurants, banking, entertainment industry and so<br />
on. This perhaps explains the relatively high intensity <strong>of</strong><br />
mobile phones and computers in <strong>Kerala</strong>. So is the case <strong>of</strong><br />
carpenters, especially those who had some experience <strong>of</strong><br />
migration, using modern electrical equipment in their work<br />
that helps reduce drudgery while enhancing the quality<br />
and productivity <strong>of</strong> work. This critical mass <strong>of</strong> emigrants<br />
has been instrumental in linking <strong>Kerala</strong> society with the<br />
rest <strong>of</strong> the world in a variety <strong>of</strong> ways. The recent CDS<br />
survey <strong>of</strong> households on migration (Zachariah et al 2003)<br />
revealed that one in four households in <strong>Kerala</strong> have a direct<br />
experience <strong>of</strong> international migration through one or more<br />
<strong>of</strong> its members.<br />
Besides the above-mentioned favourable factors arising<br />
from social development, demographic transition and<br />
the impact <strong>of</strong> international migration, an important and<br />
compelling reason for overall technological change<br />
and innovation is the structural transformation <strong>of</strong> the<br />
<strong>Kerala</strong> economy. As seen in Chapter 4, at the end <strong>of</strong> the<br />
20th century, the primary sector <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Kerala</strong> economy<br />
accounted for only a quarter <strong>of</strong> the State domestic income<br />
and around one-third <strong>of</strong> the employment. This means that<br />
three-fourths <strong>of</strong> income and two-thirds <strong>of</strong> employment is<br />
generated in the non-agricultural sectors <strong>of</strong> the economy.<br />
In fact, the service sector is the leading sector in <strong>Kerala</strong><br />
with two-thirds <strong>of</strong> income and more than 40 per cent <strong>of</strong><br />
employment. This is also the fastest growing sector. Such<br />
a process has raised the possibility <strong>of</strong> growth through<br />
‘servicisation’ as opposed to ‘industrialisation’ since<br />
<strong>Kerala</strong> is a regional economy. 5, 6 We shall return to this<br />
question later.<br />
are able to attract those industries where labour<br />
productivity levels are not much different. This calls<br />
for technological change and other forms <strong>of</strong> innovation<br />
that will enhance the value <strong>of</strong> the products. However,<br />
given the pressure <strong>of</strong> demand for employment, <strong>Kerala</strong>’s<br />
political society turned its back on technological change<br />
for quite some time, thinking that all such changes<br />
result in job loss.<br />
Indeed, there will be displacement <strong>of</strong> labour when<br />
machines are introduced. At the same time, technological<br />
change creates new jobs and new ways <strong>of</strong> doing things.<br />
Innovation on a wide front further contributes to<br />
employment creation and income generation. There is<br />
no doubt that people affected by job loss have to be<br />
taken care <strong>of</strong> by a variety <strong>of</strong> means, including social<br />
security and/or retraining. Their employment and<br />
employability becomes a reality only when there is the<br />
possibility <strong>of</strong> increasing investment in the economy.<br />
There is some change in the society’s mindset to<br />
technological change in favour <strong>of</strong> new activities<br />
rather than existing ones. This can result in a<br />
lopsided and inequitous situation. While information<br />
and communication technologies using computers<br />
2.2 The Imperative for Technological<br />
Change and Innovation<br />
To provide decent jobs, productivity levels will have<br />
to be enhanced. Given <strong>Kerala</strong>’s higher ‘social wage’<br />
(see Chapter 6), the lack <strong>of</strong> competitiveness in labourintensive<br />
agriculture (e.g. rice cultivation) and many<br />
agro-processing industries is the result <strong>of</strong> the inability<br />
to raise labour productivity. Put in a different way,<br />
neighbouring States, with much lower level <strong>of</strong> wages,<br />
5 Recent analysis based on endogenously determined breaks provides conclusive evidence shows that source <strong>of</strong> growth in the<br />
1990s is mainly from services. Pushpangadan and Parameswaran (<strong>2005</strong>).<br />
6 See Subrahmanian (2003).