Kerala 2005 - of Planning Commission
Kerala 2005 - of Planning Commission
Kerala 2005 - of Planning Commission
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100<br />
2. The Problem <strong>of</strong><br />
Educated Unemployment<br />
2.1 Work Participation and Unemployment<br />
Until the early 1970s, <strong>Kerala</strong>’s population grew at a<br />
higher rate than at the all-India level; however, the<br />
work participation rate (the ratio <strong>of</strong> number <strong>of</strong> people<br />
working to the total population) remained low. This<br />
is partly due to the structure <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Kerala</strong> economy<br />
dominated by low labour absorbing cash crops. This<br />
started showing signs <strong>of</strong> change in the 1990s, with a<br />
decline in the dominance <strong>of</strong> agricultural employment.<br />
According to estimates <strong>of</strong> the NSSO shown in Table 7.1,<br />
the work participation rates (WPR) in <strong>Kerala</strong> was steady<br />
in the 1990s as against a decline at the all-India level,<br />
bringing both to around 39 per cent. This is significant<br />
warranting further analysis.<br />
Disaggregation by sex and age group shows that in<br />
<strong>Kerala</strong>, the work participation rates <strong>of</strong> men in the<br />
age group <strong>of</strong> 25-45 years increased in the two time<br />
periods since 1987-88, a result very likely <strong>of</strong> greater<br />
employment opportunities. In contrast, increase in<br />
women’s work participation rates was confined to the<br />
age group <strong>of</strong> 35-54 years in the urban areas alone.<br />
This is, <strong>of</strong> course, an indication that women’s ability<br />
to take up work is enhanced when their reproductive<br />
responsibilities ease to some extent at least past the<br />
child-bearing age. The overall tendency at the all-India<br />
level was in contrast to that <strong>of</strong> <strong>Kerala</strong>, with a decline<br />
in the work participation rate for all age groups except<br />
for a marginal increase (less than 0.5 percentage points)<br />
in the rural age-group <strong>of</strong> 40-49 and 55-59. This could<br />
be the result <strong>of</strong> the declining employment elasticity <strong>of</strong><br />
growth, especially due to the shift to commercial crops<br />
(as opposed to food crops) in agriculture and the decline<br />
in employment in many urban industries (such as jute,<br />
textiles, and older generation <strong>of</strong> other manufacturing).<br />
Another factor is the increasing share <strong>of</strong> students in the<br />
younger age group, which has also contributed to the<br />
continued decline in work participation rates <strong>of</strong> the<br />
young age group <strong>of</strong> 15-24 in <strong>Kerala</strong>. The impact <strong>of</strong> the<br />
demographic transition is yet to show itself in these age<br />
groups, as the absolute numbers <strong>of</strong> population in these<br />
categories are still increasing. However, as shown later,<br />
many students may be looking for some employment.<br />
Needless to say, the increase in educational attainments<br />
augments the ability <strong>of</strong> men and women to find<br />
employment opportunities in an increasingly diversified<br />
labour market.<br />
Male WPRs in <strong>Kerala</strong> are more than twice those for<br />
females – 55 per cent vis-à-vis 23 per cent for females,<br />
and while the former has increased since 1987-88,<br />
female WPRs remained constant during the 1990s<br />
(Table 7.1). The worker sex ratio (female workers per 1,000<br />
male workers) which had declined from almost 536 in<br />
1987-88 to about 439 in 1993-94 further declined<br />
to 436 in 1999-00. This is reflected also in a decline<br />
in the share <strong>of</strong> women in the total work force from<br />
35 per cent to 30.5 in the early 1990s and then further to<br />
30.3 per cent in 1999-00. 1<br />
Female WPRs in <strong>Kerala</strong> have been among the lowest<br />
in India. Currently, while over a quarter <strong>of</strong> the female<br />
population is recorded as economically active at the<br />
all-India level, the proportion is about 23 per cent in<br />
Table 7.1: Work Force Participation Rates (Usual Principal and Subsidiary Status)<br />
<strong>Kerala</strong><br />
All-India<br />
1987-88 1993-94 1999-00 1987-88 1993-94 1999-00<br />
Rural Male 50.6 53.7 55.3 53.9 55.3 53.1<br />
Rural Female 28.6 23.8 23.8 32.6 32.8 29.9<br />
Urban Male 53.0 55.9 55.8 50.6 52.1 51.8<br />
Urban Female 19.8 20.3 20.3 15.2 15.5 13.9<br />
Total Male 51.2 54.3 55.4 53.1 54.4 52.7<br />
Female 26.5 22.9 22.9 28.1 28.3 25.4<br />
Person 38.6 38.3 38.7 41.1 41.8 39.5<br />
Source: 1987-88: Sarvekshana, September 1990; 1993-94: Sarvekshana, July-September 1996; 1999-00: “Employment and Unemployment Situation in India”, 1999-2000,<br />
Report No. 458,NSS 55th Round, NSSO, Government <strong>of</strong> India, May 2001 Sarvekshana.<br />
1 These percentages have been estimated on the basis <strong>of</strong> absolute numbers in the work force and its composition derived from<br />
the WPRs and population data.