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Gas Turbine Handbook : Principles and Practices

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The <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>Turbine</strong>'s Future 285<br />

reduce the quantity of parts h<strong>and</strong>led <strong>and</strong> relax the requirement for<br />

tight dimensional tolerances between parts. Today manufacturers have<br />

access to advanced design tools such as computational fluid dynamics<br />

(CFD) to optimize compressor <strong>and</strong> turbine aerodynamic designs <strong>and</strong><br />

computer aided drafting <strong>and</strong> computer aided machining (CADCAM)<br />

software.<br />

The gas turbine still has not found its place in l<strong>and</strong> transportation<br />

use (automobiles <strong>and</strong> trucks). This application has been stifled in the<br />

past due to high production <strong>and</strong> maintenance cost. However, a hybrid<br />

electric car application may utilize the microturbine generator as a<br />

range extender. In this capacity it will provide a constant power source<br />

to continuously charge the on-board battery pack.<br />

The gas turbine (turbofan, turbojet, <strong>and</strong> turboprop) will continue<br />

to be the major player in aircraft applications for the next 100 years.<br />

In the next 10 years, alone, over 76,000 gas turbines—turbojet <strong>and</strong><br />

turbofans—will be built 7 . Also, the gas turbine will be used to a greater<br />

extent in marine applications, primarily in military applications but<br />

also in cruise ships <strong>and</strong> fast-ferries. However, the greatest advances<br />

will be in l<strong>and</strong> based, stationary, power plant applications. It is here<br />

the gas turbine will demonstrate its growth potential, flexibility, <strong>and</strong><br />

adaptability.<br />

Future energy growth can be projected from assumptions of<br />

future economic, population, energy supply, <strong>and</strong> energy price estimated<br />

growth—approximately 2% per annum growth average. The trend<br />

clearly shows energy needs increasing two-fold to seven-fold by the<br />

middle to the end of the 21 st Century.<br />

Considering that America uses 25 % of the world’s energy<br />

consumption today. To supply just the world’s energy dem<strong>and</strong> by 2050,<br />

we’ll need to build at least 4 times the current capacity (10,224.4 million<br />

tons oil equivalent in 2004). 2,8<br />

References<br />

1. New Horizons,” Lee S. Langston, Power & Energy, June 2005<br />

2. GEOHIVE - Global Statistics, web site www.GEOHIVE.com<br />

3. “Electrification Will Enable Sustained Prosperity,” Henry R.<br />

Linden, Illinois Institute of Technology, Power Engineering,<br />

October 1996.<br />

4. Making Biomass Energy A Contender,” George Sterzinger,<br />

Technology Review, October 1995

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