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Earthquake Engineering Research - HKU Libraries - The University ...

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174<br />

defined target. Performance-based seismic engineering is the best target available, and we need to<br />

focus on it."<br />

Now, five years later, the idealistic target has moved closer to reality. We still have a long way to go,<br />

but we hope to have laid the groundwork, established a framework, and provided basic tools that make<br />

PBEE realizable and an attractive alternative to conventional analysis and design. In particular,<br />

significant progress has been made in establishing performance metrics and developing procedures for<br />

a rigorous performance assessment that combine seismological, engineering, financial (e.g., $ losses)<br />

and societal (e.g., life safety) considerations. This paper tries to summarize the approach developed by<br />

PEER researchers for this purpose.<br />

One concern needs to be expressed, and one notion needs to be dispelled, up front. <strong>The</strong> concern is that<br />

the proposed approach relies heavily on the availability of seismological, engineering, and financial<br />

data (e.g., construction costs after an earthquake). Much of the needed data is of questionable<br />

reliability at this time. This is not a drawback of the approach, but points out an urgent need for data<br />

acquisition and modeling. <strong>The</strong> notion to be dispelled is that the future will consist of complex<br />

probabilistic approaches in routine structural design. This should be an option at the discretion of the<br />

engineer or owner, but should not be necessary for routine designs. <strong>The</strong> main objectives of the<br />

development is to<br />

• Facilitate decision making on cost-effective risk management of the built environment in areas<br />

of high seismicity<br />

• Facilitate the implementation of performance-based design and evaluation by the engineering<br />

profession, and<br />

• Provide a foundation on which code writing bodies can base the development of performancebased<br />

provisions.<br />

<strong>The</strong> latter should result in relatively simple but more transparent and risk consistent provisions than are<br />

contained in present codes and standards.<br />

COMPONENTS OF PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT APPROACH<br />

This paper is concerned with performance assessment of buildings. <strong>The</strong> assumption is that all relevant<br />

building systems, i.e., the soil/foundation/structure system as well as the nonstructural and content<br />

systems, are given. <strong>The</strong> components of the performance assessment approach are summarized here (in<br />

part from Cornell and Krawinkler, 2000) and illustrated in Fig. 1, and are elaborated on in later<br />

sections.<br />

By definition, PBEE is based on achieving desired performance targets. <strong>The</strong> latter are of concern to<br />

society as a whole or to specific groups or individual owners. Performance targets are of the type<br />

expressed in the first column of Fig. 1. <strong>The</strong> metrics of specific interest in the PEER research are life<br />

safety, dollar losses, and downtime (or loss of function), and it is postulated that a performance target<br />

can be expressed in terms of a quantifiable entity and, for instance, its annual probability of<br />

exceedance. <strong>The</strong> quantifiable entities on which performance assessment is based, are referred to as<br />

Decision Variables, DVs. For instance, X s (y), the mean annual frequency 1 (MAP) of the loss<br />

exceeding y dollars, could be the basis for a performance target. Alternatively, a performance target<br />

could be that the expected annual loss should be less than x dollars. In the assessment methodology<br />

1 <strong>The</strong> MAP is approximately equal to the annual probability for the small values of interest here.

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