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Pulacayo Project Feasibility Study - Apogee Silver

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<strong>Pulacayo</strong> 1 000 t/d Phase I <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong> - NI 43-101 Technical Report<br />

090644-3-0000-20-IFI-100<br />

Table 19.4: Lead Price Outlook<br />

Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />

Price, USD 1.09 1.00 1.07 1.08 1.12 1.05<br />

These projections compare with a forward curve (as of 19 July 2012) in contango through to<br />

December 2015 which shows a spot price of USD 1,920.50/mt Pb (USD 0.87 per pound) and a<br />

forward price of USD 2,060/mt (USD 0.93/lb) which, although higher than zinc prices, still remains<br />

well below most analysts’ projections (see Figure 19.11).<br />

Source: LME, July 20, 2012<br />

Figure 19.11: Lead Forward Curve<br />

Nonetheless, nearby lead prices, as noted above, are forecast to rebound and remain well above<br />

the long-term average lead price, which, for the purposes of this report, is projected at USD 1,962<br />

per mt, or approximately USD 0.89/lb.<br />

19.2.2.3 <strong>Silver</strong> Price Outlook<br />

No detailed analysis of the silver market was undertaken for this study and available analyst<br />

projections were deemed to be limited to be considered as representative of a consensus<br />

outlook. However, a review of London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) silver prices since<br />

January 2009 (see Figure 19.12) shows a 3 year trailing average price of USD 25.44/oz.<br />

Accordingly, for purposes of the <strong>Feasibility</strong> <strong>Study</strong>, it has been recommended that a silver price of<br />

USD 25.00/oz be used.<br />

TWP Sudamérica S.A. Av. Encalada 1257 Of. 801, Santiago de Surco Lima 33, Perú (51-1) 4377473<br />

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