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Libro de Resúmenes / Book of Abstracts (Español/English)

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Resumenes 112<br />

Travelling Waves in a Mo<strong>de</strong>l <strong>de</strong>scribing “mal <strong>de</strong> las ca<strong>de</strong>ras”<br />

in capybaras (Hydrochaeris hydrochaeris)<br />

including the vector presence.<br />

The aim <strong>of</strong> this work is to <strong>de</strong>scribe the capybara (Hydrochaeris<br />

hydrochaeris) dynamic. The mo<strong>de</strong>l, proposed by Silvio Pregnolatto in [5],<br />

consi<strong>de</strong>rs the presence <strong>of</strong> the ‘‘Mutuca’’ (Diptera: Tabanidae), vector which<br />

transmit the disease called ‘‘mal <strong>de</strong> las ca<strong>de</strong>ras’’ in Estero <strong>de</strong>l Ibera,<br />

Argentina. The study <strong>of</strong> this problem have ecological and economical<br />

importance: for example <strong>de</strong> meat and the hi<strong>de</strong> <strong>of</strong> the capybara can be an<br />

exploitable resource. An analysis <strong>of</strong> a possible exploitation has been ma<strong>de</strong><br />

in [2].<br />

The mo<strong>de</strong>l is a system <strong>of</strong> partial differential equation <strong>of</strong> reactiondiffusion<br />

and transport. Four classes are studied: susceptible capybaras,<br />

infected capybaras, infected insects and non-infected insects. The dynamic<br />

is as follows: a susceptible capybara moves into the infected class by<br />

contact with an infected insect. A non-infected insect moves into the<br />

infected class by contact with an infected capybara. This is how the disease<br />

spreads.<br />

The mortality <strong>of</strong> the susceptible and infected capybaras are<br />

consi<strong>de</strong>red, and inclu<strong>de</strong> external factors, such as predation, exploitation, or<br />

disease-related mortality. The mortality consi<strong>de</strong>red in the infected and noninfected<br />

insects is assume to be the same. The growth dynamic <strong>of</strong> both<br />

species is given by a logistic function.<br />

The diffusion is consi<strong>de</strong>red in both species, and is greater for the<br />

insects than for capybaras. The diffusion in infected capybaras is not<br />

consi<strong>de</strong>red because the disease affects the capybara’s mobility.<br />

At first, a threshold value is <strong>de</strong>termined as a function <strong>of</strong> the mo<strong>de</strong>l<br />

parameters, obtaining a critical carrying capacity for the disease<br />

propagation or eradication [10]. As the carrying capacity condition for the<br />

disease existence is satisfied , the existence <strong>of</strong> travelling wave solution is<br />

studied [3], [8]. In<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nt velocities are consi<strong>de</strong>red for the susceptible<br />

capybaras, the non-infected insect and the disease.<br />

The minimum speed <strong>of</strong> the disease propagation for this mo<strong>de</strong>l is<br />

obtained [1], [4], [9], because the travelling wave solution with minimum<br />

speed is stable and represent the dynamic <strong>of</strong> the system [6], [7]. Control<br />

strategies are discusses to <strong>de</strong>crease the minimum speed <strong>of</strong> propagation in<br />

function <strong>of</strong> the mo<strong>de</strong>l parameters.<br />

References<br />

[1] Tiemi Takahashi, L. Maidana, N.A., Castro Ferreira Jr., W. Petronio, P. Yang,<br />

H.M. (2005). Mathematical mo<strong>de</strong>ls for the Ae<strong>de</strong>s aegypti dispersal dynamic:<br />

travelling waves by wings and wind. Bulletin <strong>of</strong> mathematical biology 67.<br />

509-528.<br />

[2] Fe<strong>de</strong>rico, P. Canziani, G.A. (2005). Mo<strong>de</strong>ling the population dynamic <strong>of</strong><br />

capybara Hydrochaeris hydrochaeris: a first step towards a management<br />

plan. Ecological Mo<strong>de</strong>lling 186. 111-121.<br />

[3] Maidana, N.A. (2004). Algumas aplicaçoes das ondas viajantes a fenômenos<br />

biológicos. Ph. D. Tesis. IMEC-UNICAMP, CAMPINAS, BRASIL .<br />

[4] Abramson, G. Kenkre, V.M. (2003) Traveling waves <strong>of</strong> infections in the<br />

Hantavirus Epi<strong>de</strong>mic. Bulletin <strong>of</strong> mathematical biology 65. 519-534.

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