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THÈSE Estimation, validation et identification des modèles ARMA ...

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Chapitre 3. Estimating the asymptotic variance of LSE of weak V<strong>ARMA</strong> models 109<br />

where<br />

<br />

<br />

g1 = sup sup ˆ <br />

<br />

<br />

Mn ij,h −Mij,h<br />

|f(hbn)|,<br />

i,j≥1 |h|Tn<br />

Mij,h.<br />

The non zero elements of Mij,h are of the form E(ei1 tei2 t−iei3 t−hei4 t−h−j), with<br />

(i1,i2,i3,i4) ∈ {1,...,d} 4 . Now, using the covariance inequality obtained by Davydov<br />

(1968), it is easy to show that<br />

We then deduce that<br />

|E(ei1 tei2 t−iei3 t−hei4 t−h−j)| = |Cov(ei1 tei2 t−i,ei3 t−hei4 t−h−j)|<br />

≤ Kα ν/(2+ν)<br />

ǫ<br />

(h).<br />

Mij,h ≤ Kα ν/(2+ν)<br />

ǫ (h). (3.22)<br />

In view of A7, we thus have g3 → 0 as n → ∞. L<strong>et</strong> m be a fixed integer and write<br />

g2 ≤ s1 +s2, where<br />

s1 = <br />

|f(hbn)−1|Mij,h and s2 = <br />

|f(hbn)−1|Mij,h.<br />

|h|≤m<br />

bn i,j≥1 |h|

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