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Consciousness-Based Education - Maharishi University of ...

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consciousness-based education and governmentare goals which are typically at the very top <strong>of</strong> the policy agenda forevery national government, the misery index serves as a very usefulsummary measure <strong>of</strong> national economic performance.Some empirical studies <strong>of</strong> the misery index have been carried out.Tarantelli (1986) employed the misery index as a measure <strong>of</strong> stagflationin a regression analysis <strong>of</strong> cross-national economic performance. Inanother study <strong>of</strong> cross-national performance, McCallum (1986) reportedcorrelations between the misery index and both the incidence <strong>of</strong> strikesand a measure <strong>of</strong> “corporatist” institutional structure. However, neitherTarantelli nor McCallum examined the behavior <strong>of</strong> the misery indexover time for any <strong>of</strong> the countries in their samples. Thus the researchdescribed in this paper, along with the related research discussed below(Cavanaugh & King, 1988; Cavanaugh, King, & Titus, 1989; Cavanaugh,King, & Ertuna, 1989) apparently represents the first in-depthinvestigation <strong>of</strong> the time series behavior <strong>of</strong> Okun’s misery index.Historical Behavior <strong>of</strong> the Misery IndexFor both the U.S. and Canada during the 1970’s and early 1980’s themisery index reached historically high levels because <strong>of</strong> the simultaneousoccurrence <strong>of</strong> both high inflation and unemployment. Simultaneoushigh inflation and unemployment, a condition termed “stagflation,”was indisputably the primary economic problem <strong>of</strong> the 1970’s and early1980’s in North America and throughout the world (Bruno & Sachs,1985). 4 As shown in a plot <strong>of</strong> annual data in Figure 1, the U.S. miseryindex began rising in the mid-1960’s, and ratcheted up markedly duringthe 1970s. After peaking in 1980 at a level exceeded only during theGreat Depression <strong>of</strong> the 1930’s, the U.S. index thereafter fell irregularlyto near a 15-year low in 1988 as a result <strong>of</strong> substantial declines inboth inflation and unemployment. As shown in Figure 2, the miseryindex for Canada likewise trended sharply upward beginning in themid-1960’s, peaked in 1982, and then fell by 1988 to its lowest levelsince 1972.418

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