Consciousness-Based Education - Maharishi University of ...

U.S.-Soviet Relations and the Maharishi Effectet al. (1990a, 1990b). They reported that when the same Gorbachevvariable was added to the model, the impact of the TM-Sidhi group(1700 participants or larger) on Soviet behavior remained significant inthe analysis of the weekly, but not monthly, data.The estimated steady state gain for the global World Peace Assemblieswas 75.401. The latter is equivalent to an increase of 1.99 standarddeviations in the ratings of Soviet behavior (or 2.91 residual standarderrors for the TF model). This estimated long-run impact of the WorldPeace Assemblies was 1.71 times larger that for the Gorbachev variable.The three intervention parameters at lags zero, two, and four remainedsizeable and jointly significant as indicated by the likelihood ratio test(λ = 11.013, d.f. = 3, p = .0117). As shown in Table 3, the parameterestimates at lag zero (24.213, t = 2.48, p = .0066) and four (34.950, t =3.59, p = .0002) were both individually significant. The estimate at lagtwo (16.239, t = 1.59, p = .0559) continued to have the predicted signand was nearly significant at the .05 level. Because the three interven-Table 3:Transfer Function Model Parameter Estimates for Modelwith Gorbachev Variable Estimated Model:USSR t= c + (ω 11B)US t+ (ω 20+ ω 22B 2 + ω 24B 4 )I t+ ω 30Gorb + N tN t= 1/(φ 1B + φ 5B 5 + φ 6B 6 + φ 11B 11 ) a tParameterVariableParameterTypeLagParameterEstimateStd.Errort Valuep Value*1 ω 11US Num. 1 0.204 0.070 2.91 0.00362 ω 20I Num. 0 24.213 9.753 2.48 0.00663 ω 22I Num. 2 16.239 10.203 1.59 0.05594 ω 24I Num. 4 34.950 9.722 3.59 0.00025 ω 30Gorb, Num. 0 44.138 10.734 4.11 0.00006 c USSR Const. 0 –31.239 5.771 –5.41 0.00007 φ 1USSR AR 1 0.450 0.091 4.93 0.00008 φ 5USSR AR 5 0.307 0.099 3.09 0.00209 φ 6USSR AR 6 –0.417 0.092 –4.53 0.000010 φ 11USSR AR 11 0.124 0.078 1.60 0.1.096475