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ousness of the present one. In his pioneer<strong>in</strong>g work,Twentieth Century Book of the Dead, Scottish sociologistGil Elliot estimated that more than 110, 000, 000people were killed by their fellow human be<strong>in</strong>gsbetween 1900 and 1972. "To set such a figure aga<strong>in</strong>stthe scale of violence <strong>in</strong> previous times, " he stated,"<strong>in</strong>volves the difficulties of compar<strong>in</strong>g like periods andallow<strong>in</strong>g for population <strong>in</strong>crease. However, everyattempt to do so shows the twentieth century to be<strong>in</strong>comparably the more violent period. "4 Such f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gsled Elliot to conclude that "the scale of man-made deathis the central moral as well as material fact of ourtime. "'Efforts to compare the magnitude of "man-madedeath" <strong>in</strong> the twentieth century with that <strong>in</strong> priorcenturies confront serious methodological obstacles.Among them is the fact that the number of people — particularlycivilians — killed <strong>in</strong> wars, massacres, and otherforms of collective violence have seldom been recordedwith precision. Also, many deaths caused by warfareresult from delayed or <strong>in</strong>direct effects of the conflict,such as destruction of crops, economic collapse, anddisruption of medical care. And, as acknowledged byElliot <strong>in</strong> the preced<strong>in</strong>g paragraph, evaluation of theassertion that the twentieth century is the most violentrequires that population trends be taken <strong>in</strong>to consideration.This, <strong>in</strong> turn, requires not only estimates ofcasualties of violence but also estimates of the populationfor the place and time <strong>in</strong> which the violenceoccurred. Thus, comparisons of the scale of twentiethcentury violence with violence <strong>in</strong> previous centuriesare necessarily imprecise. The reader should bear'thiscaveat <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d as the followirig studies are reviewed.Sociologist Pitirim Sorok<strong>in</strong> was one of the firstmodern scholars to trace quantitative trends <strong>in</strong> collectiveviolence over the centuries. 'After a lengthy discussionof the numerous methodological difficulties entailed<strong>in</strong> such a study, he used historical materials to estimatethe casualties, that is, both deaths and <strong>in</strong>juries, ofEuropean wars from the eleventh century through 1925.He also used population estimates to calculate thenumber of war casualties per 1, 000 <strong>in</strong> the populationfor each century <strong>in</strong> each of the ten European nationsunder study. He found that the estimated war casualtiesper 1, 000 population dur<strong>in</strong>g the first twenty-five yearsof the twentieth century, fifty-four casualties, wereconsiderably higher than <strong>in</strong> any other entire century.For example, the war casualties per 1, 000 of 'thepopulation for the twelfth, eighteenth, and n<strong>in</strong>eteenthcenturies ' were two, thirty-three, and fifteen respectively.On the basis of such trends, Sorok<strong>in</strong> concluded that"the curse or privilege to be the most devastat<strong>in</strong>gor most bloody war century belongs to the twentieth;<strong>in</strong> one quarter century it imposed upon the populationsa 'blood tribute' far greater than that imposedby any of the whole centuries comb<strong>in</strong>ed. " [emphasis<strong>in</strong> orig<strong>in</strong>al]' In a later book, <strong>in</strong> which he extended thescope of his comparative study farther back andforward <strong>in</strong> time, he confirmed his earlier results,f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g the twentieth century to be "the bloodiest andmost belligerent of all the twenty-fivecenturies underconsideration."'The recent work of William Eckhardt supportsSorok<strong>in</strong>'s conclusions. Eckhardt has cont<strong>in</strong>ued theeffort to quantify the human costs of collective violence." In a recent study, he compared the number ofwars and the number of war-related deaths from 3000B. C. "through the first half of the twentieth century.For estimates of the global population, the number ofwars, and the number of people killed <strong>in</strong> wars dur<strong>in</strong>geach century, he reviewed a wide range of sources,<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g world population histories and militaryhistories. While acknowledg<strong>in</strong>g the limitations of suchdata, particularly <strong>in</strong> earlier centuries, Eckhardt arguesthat rough estimates are nonetheless possible. Hisf<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs for recent centuries are summarized <strong>in</strong> table1.It is evident that the number of people killed <strong>in</strong>wars, per each 1, 000 of the population, has <strong>in</strong>creasedsteadily over the past centuries, culm<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> anunprecedented number dur<strong>in</strong>g the first half of thetwentieth.Summariz<strong>in</strong>g his research, Eckhardt states that"war-related deaths have been <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g over the pastfifty centuries. When death estimates were divided bypopulation estimates, this measure was significantlycorrelated with centuries, so that population growthalone could not expla<strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> war deaths overthese fifty centuries. In other words, war-relateddeaths were <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g significantly faster thanpopulation growth. " [emphasis added)'4 In an earlierstudy, Eckhardt elim<strong>in</strong>ated the death tolls of WorldWars I and II from the estimate of war-deaths dur<strong>in</strong>gthe twentieth century and still found that the rate ofwar-deaths has been <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g faster than the rate ofpopulation growth."These studies, and others," focused their quantitativehistorical comparisons on warfare, but they do notconsider genocide as another, ostensibly different, formof governmental violence. Unfortunately, the field ofgenocide studies has not yet produced its counterpartto Sorok<strong>in</strong> or Eckhardt. Indeed, as is discussed below,genocide scholars are still engaged <strong>in</strong> debate over thevery def<strong>in</strong>ition of "genocide. " Nonetheless, it isnoteworthy that some researchers have suggested that,dur<strong>in</strong>g the twentieth century at least, the death toll fromwarfare, as high as it has been, may be significantlylower than the death toll from genocide and genocidalkill<strong>in</strong>g. Political scientist R. J. Rummel, for example,11SGENOCIDE

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