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10<br />

FIGURE 10.3:<br />

Over-age attendance especially affects girls <strong>and</strong> the poor in some countries<br />

a. Percentage of over-age children, by grade <strong>and</strong> sex,<br />

Ghana 2011 <strong>and</strong> Malawi 2010<br />

80 80<br />

b. Percentage of over-age children, by grade <strong>and</strong> wealth,<br />

Haiti 2012 <strong>and</strong> Swazil<strong>and</strong> 2010<br />

Students at least two years older than official age for grade (%)<br />

70 70<br />

60 60<br />

50 50<br />

40 40<br />

30 30<br />

20 20<br />

Male<br />

Female<br />

10 10<br />

Students at least two years older than official age for grade (%)<br />

Poorest 60%<br />

Richest 40%<br />

0<br />

0<br />

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8<br />

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9<br />

Ghana<br />

Malawi<br />

Haiti<br />

Swazil<strong>and</strong><br />

Note: Children are defined as over-age if they are at least two years older than the official age for the grade.<br />

Source: GEM Report team analysis using DHS <strong>and</strong> MICS results.<br />

COMPLETION<br />

Target 4.1 emphasizes completion of primary <strong>and</strong><br />

secondary education. But consistent information across<br />

countries on graduation from the various education<br />

levels is lacking. Administrative data focus on the gross<br />

intake rate into last grade, i.e. the number of students<br />

enrolled in the final grade as a percentage of the number<br />

of <strong>people</strong> of graduation age for that education level.<br />

Globally, the gross intake rate into the final grade of<br />

primary school was 90% in 2014. There was a low of<br />

67% in low income countries, ranging up to 98% in high<br />

income countries. The rate exceeded 90% in all regions<br />

except sub-Saharan Africa, where it was 69%. The gross<br />

intake rate into the final grade of lower secondary<br />

school was 75% globally in 2014 <strong>and</strong> ranged from 38% in<br />

low income countries to 92% in high income countries.<br />

Again the lowest value, 42%, was in sub-Saharan Africa.<br />

No data are reported at the upper secondary level. It is<br />

important to note that the gross intake rate can exceed<br />

100% because the numerator (students in final grade)<br />

<strong>and</strong> denominator (<strong>people</strong> of graduation age) come from<br />

different sources <strong>and</strong> may be inconsistent. Indeed, the<br />

value exceeded 100% in 54 of the 157 countries with data<br />

in primary education.<br />

Completion indicators based on household survey data<br />

can help address this issue. Parents <strong>and</strong> guardians are<br />

directly asked whether each child has completed a given<br />

education level. Comparing administrative <strong>and</strong> survey<br />

data from the same country suggests that intake rates<br />

tend to overestimate completion. For example, among<br />

80 low <strong>and</strong> middle income countries, the median value<br />

of the gross intake rate into the final grade of lower<br />

secondary exceeded the completion rate at that level by<br />

11 percentage points.<br />

In 2008–2014, the primary completion rate was 51%<br />

in low income countries, 84% in lower middle income<br />

countries <strong>and</strong> 92% in upper middle income countries.<br />

There were major gaps between the poorest <strong>and</strong> richest:<br />

28% of the poorest children but 77% of the richest<br />

completed primary school in low income countries. This<br />

disparity is exacerbated when comparing boys <strong>and</strong> girls.<br />

The primary completion rate among the poorest girls is<br />

25% in low income countries (Table 10.3).<br />

184<br />

CHAPTER 10 | TARGET 4.1 – PRIMARY AND SECONDARY EDUCATION

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