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1<br />

so that even countries with natural reserves in 2012 are<br />

expected to start running a deficit during 2015–2030<br />

(Ewing et al., 2010; Global Footprint Network, 2016).<br />

There is a clear relationship between modern lifestyles<br />

<strong>and</strong> resource consumption. Countries that perform<br />

better on the Human Development Index, measured<br />

in terms of education, living st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>and</strong> health, are<br />

much likelier to have a much larger ecological footprint<br />

(Figure 1.2a).<br />

The countries with the largest ecological footprints<br />

are mostly in Europe <strong>and</strong> Northern America. Countries<br />

that have experienced rapid increases in education,<br />

health <strong>and</strong> living st<strong>and</strong>ards, including the Republic<br />

of Korea <strong>and</strong> Singapore, have seen their ecological<br />

footprint nearly double as domestic consumption has<br />

exp<strong>and</strong>ed. In contrast, countries with low levels of<br />

human development, mostly in sub-Saharan Africa, have<br />

smaller ecological footprints. For instance, the ecological<br />

footprints of Eritrea <strong>and</strong> Timor-Leste are less than 5% the<br />

size of the largest footprints.<br />

Countries struggle to find balance between human<br />

development <strong>and</strong> sustainable practices. Some, including<br />

Cuba, Georgia, the Republic of Moldova <strong>and</strong> Sri Lanka,<br />

have begun to find it, managing to keep production <strong>and</strong><br />

consumption within sustainable bounds (Figure 1.2b).<br />

Their citizens have relatively good health prospects, with<br />

life expectancy between 68 <strong>and</strong> 79 years. People go to<br />

school for 10 to 12 years, well above the global average<br />

of 8 years. Yet, their per capita income is less than the<br />

global average, from US$5,200 a year in the Republic of<br />

Moldova to US$9,780 in Sri Lanka (UNDP, 2015b).<br />

It should be noted that the condition of a country’s local<br />

environment is not taken into account in comparisons of<br />

human development <strong>and</strong> ecological footprints. Resources<br />

are not distributed evenly among countries or even<br />

among regions within countries. As a result, it may be<br />

FIGURE 1.2A:<br />

High levels of human development have come at an ecological cost<br />

Total ecological footprint by Human Development Index, by country, 2012<br />

An ecological footprint of less than 1.7<br />

global hectares per person, given current<br />

population <strong>and</strong> available productive l<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> sea area (biocapacity), is sustainable;<br />

the earth can replenish a country’s<br />

resource use.<br />

The Human Development Index (HDI,<br />

by the UN Development Programme)<br />

measures a country’s average<br />

achievements in health, knowledge<br />

<strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard of living. An HDI value of<br />

0.8 or more indicates very high human<br />

development.<br />

Singapore’s high HDI (0.91) is associated<br />

with a large ecological footprint per<br />

capita (7.97). This means that <strong>people</strong> in<br />

Singapore, although living a good life,<br />

also have high resource dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Ecological footprint (hectares per capita)<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

Unsustainable<br />

ecological footprint<br />

World biocapacity per person in 1961<br />

High HDI<br />

Very High HDI<br />

Australia<br />

Singapore<br />

Rep. of Korea<br />

Caucasus <strong>and</strong> Central Asia<br />

Eastern <strong>and</strong> South-eastern Asia<br />

2<br />

World biocapacity per person in 2011<br />

Europe <strong>and</strong> Northern America<br />

Latin America <strong>and</strong> the Caribbean<br />

Northern Africa <strong>and</strong> Western Asia<br />

Pacific<br />

Southern Asia<br />

Sub-Saharan Africa<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0<br />

See Fig. 1.2B<br />

Sustainable<br />

ecological footprint<br />

Eritrea Timor-Leste<br />

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1<br />

Human Development Index<br />

Source: GEM Report team analysis based on data from Global Footprint Network (2016).<br />

22<br />

CHAPTER 1 | PLANET: ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY

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