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The Srebrenica Massacre - Nova Srpska Politicka Misao

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CHAPTER 4<br />

<strong>The</strong> Numbers Game<br />

Jonathan Rooper<br />

Anyone who raises doubts about the fate that allegedly befell the <strong>Srebrenica</strong><br />

“safe area” population in July 1995 is invariably treated with<br />

withering scorn. At best they are characterized as “revisionists;” at worst,<br />

as “deniers” of a modern-day holocaust.<br />

No serious analysis of events in and around <strong>Srebrenica</strong> in the summer<br />

of 1995 would be complete without a detailed examination of the numbers<br />

killed and their manner of death. But from the outset, both the<br />

number of Bosnian Muslim deaths and how these individuals actually<br />

died were exploited for a variety of political purposes.<br />

<strong>The</strong>re can be no clearer example of this than the 10,000 symbolic<br />

graves erected at the <strong>Srebrenica</strong> memorial in Potocari 1 —a number which<br />

is 25% greater than the highest official estimate of those massacred. 2<br />

Before looking at the evolution of numbers in relation to <strong>Srebrenica</strong>,<br />

it will be helpful to look at the numbers in relation to the war as a whole.<br />

For years the death toll quoted in almost every news story relating to<br />

the Bosnian war was 200,000 or 250,000 and sometimes even<br />

300,000. 3 Usage of these numbers was so ubiquitous that most people<br />

assumed they were as well founded as the six million Jews who died in<br />

the Holocaust.<br />

In fact, the source for these figures was often the Bosnian Muslim<br />

regime in Sarajevo, including President Alija Izetbegovic, who by the<br />

start of 1993 was claiming that 200,000 Muslims were facing imminent<br />

death. 4 This figure was quickly adopted by reporters who did not<br />

question whether it was likely that roughly 82 percent as many Bosnian<br />

Muslims had died during the first nine months of a civil war in a<br />

small Balkan country of 4 million people as the British armed forces<br />

lost during the whole of World War II (244,621 5 ). Despite nearly three<br />

more years of conflict, the Bosnian total did not rise much beyond its<br />

1992 level, though there was heavy fighting in the last year of the war.<br />

A few critics suggested that the 200,000 figure (or greater) was exaggeration<br />

and wartime propaganda, not rooted in facts; but such warnings<br />

received little attention, and those making them were often<br />

dismissed as “Serb apologists.”<br />

101

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