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The Srebrenica Massacre - Nova Srpska Politicka Misao

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<strong>The</strong> Numbers Game<br />

are taken into account. It is common ground in reports of what happened<br />

that there were significant casualties on both sides from these<br />

clashes. 23 A report published in September 2002 by Republika <strong>Srpska</strong><br />

estimated 2,000 BMA combat deaths, in addition to some 500 BSA fatalities.<br />

24 While some of the dead were from the BMA Tuzla brigade,<br />

which had come out in support, the vast majority were from the very<br />

large armed BMA column which had left <strong>Srebrenica</strong>.<br />

It doesn’t end there. Both Dutchbat and undercover British Special<br />

Air Service intelligence officers who were in <strong>Srebrenica</strong> when it fell said<br />

they had witnessed bitter fighting between Muslims shortly before Bosnian<br />

Serb forces entered the town. Descriptions suggest that around 100<br />

may have died and that their bodies were left where they had fallen.<br />

<strong>The</strong>re are also reports that considerable numbers of Muslims died when<br />

they crossed a minefield which had been laid by their own side. 25<br />

Taking all these factors together, in order for 8,000 “men and boys”<br />

from the <strong>Srebrenica</strong> safe area to have been massacred or died during the<br />

population transfer that followed July 11, 1995, the population of this<br />

safe area before it fell would have had to be well over 46,000—a figure<br />

far in excess of any credible estimate put forward at any time.<br />

<strong>The</strong>re is in fact relatively little variation in the figures given in the<br />

accounts which presume that massacres took place. <strong>The</strong>y agree that the<br />

majority of <strong>Srebrenica</strong>’s population went to Potocari (estimates range<br />

from 24,000 to 27,000) and a minority went to the column that set off<br />

for Tuzla (estimates range from 10,000 to 15,000). 26 <strong>The</strong> consensus<br />

total for <strong>Srebrenica</strong> safe area inhabitants was approximately 37,000 persons<br />

in all, made up of some 25,000 who went to Potocari, and 12,000<br />

who left in the column.<br />

This ties in with remarks made by the Bosnian Muslim President<br />

Alija Izetbegovic when he was interviewed in Sarajevo by Belmin<br />

Karamehmedovic on August 13, 1995. Izetbegovic said that “35,000<br />

to 36,000” persons were present in <strong>Srebrenica</strong> “at the time” it fell into<br />

the hands of the BSA. 27 It is also significant that Patricia Wald, one of<br />

the ICTY’s judges in the case against the Bosnian Serb Army General<br />

Radislav Krstic, estimated the total pre-fall population of <strong>Srebrenica</strong> to<br />

have been 37,000 when she wrote her account of the case. According to<br />

Wald, “Prior to the attack, <strong>Srebrenica</strong> was a village of some 37,000 inhabitants.”<br />

28 Apparently, Wald was unaware that the figure 37,000<br />

106

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