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The Srebrenica Massacre - Nova Srpska Politicka Misao

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<strong>The</strong> Numbers Game<br />

However, in June 2005 the European Journal of Population published<br />

a paper by two demographers funded by the Office of the Prosecutor at<br />

the International Criminal Tribunal for Yugoslavia (ICTY), Eva Tabeau<br />

and Jakub Bijak, which showed that there was indeed no solid foundation<br />

for the commonly used figures. 6 Using established demographic<br />

techniques, based on the best records available, and allowing missing<br />

persons to be counted among the dead, they estimated a total of<br />

102,622 war-related deaths in Bosnia - Herzegovina for all sides. 7<br />

That the total number of victims in the wars of Bosnia-Herzegovina<br />

had previously been claimed to be more than double the total found by<br />

Tabeau-Bijak was startling, but the composition of the victims was also<br />

wildly misrepresented: Some 52% of the recorded Muslim fatalities were<br />

soldiers rather than civilians. 8 <strong>The</strong> lasting impression of two and even<br />

three hundred thousand unarmed Muslim civilians being slaughtered by<br />

Serb soldiers and paramilitaries was just that: an impression established<br />

by the constant repetition of the larger numbers—and a misleading one.<br />

In November 2005, Bosnian Muslim researcher Mirsad Tokaca of<br />

the Sarajevo-based Research and Documentation Centre let it be known<br />

that his group’s work, funded by the Norwegian government, had determined<br />

that the overall total would be “100,000 give or take.” 9 By<br />

June 2007, Tokaca’s RDC refined this number down to 96,895 deaths<br />

on all sides. 10<br />

As far as mainstream opinion is concerned, it is hard to imagine more<br />

authoritative sources for the new, dramatically reduced estimates. Nobody<br />

could credibly dismiss either members of the ICTY prosecution<br />

team or a Bosnian Muslim funded by the Norwegian government as<br />

“Serb apologists.” Nor could anyone argue that these researchers did<br />

not have access to the relevant data, which is quoted chapter and verse<br />

by Tabeau - Bijak as well as Tokaca’s RDC.<br />

But the findings of Tabeau - Bijak and Tokaca did not cause the sort<br />

of stir that might have been expected from the discovery of one of the<br />

worst examples of sustained misreporting in recent times: <strong>The</strong>se drastic<br />

downward-revisions in the Bosnian death toll passed almost unnoticed.<br />

For sources such as these to be ignored and the media fail to acknowledge<br />

their 12-year-plus numbers-error, the commitment to the<br />

old, erroneous, inflated numbers must have been deeply rooted. <strong>The</strong><br />

higher numbers (200,000, 250,000, 300,000) had always been cited as<br />

102

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