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La monnaie unique europeenne et sa relation au ... - Eumed.net

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3) Régression sur fonction Logistique (pas possible) :<br />

4)Régression sur fonction exponentielle :<br />

Dependent Variable: FR<br />

M<strong>et</strong>hod: Least Squares<br />

Date: 09/11/06 Time: 22:18<br />

Sample(adjusted): 1807 1847<br />

Included observations: 41 after adjusting endpoints<br />

Convergence achieved after 1 iteration<br />

FR=EXP(C(1)*@TREND+C(2))<br />

Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.<br />

C(1) 0.026831 0.002776 9.665980 0.0000<br />

C(2) 4.388151 0.098746 44.43898 0.0000<br />

R-squared 0.744724 Mean dependent var 173.8293<br />

Adjusted R-squared 0.738179 S.D. dependent var 67.17474<br />

S.E. of regression 34.37230 Akaike info criterion 9.959930<br />

Sum squared resid 46076.75 Schwarz criterion 10.04352<br />

Log likelihood -202.1786 Durbin-Watson stat 0.330460<br />

80<br />

40<br />

0<br />

-40<br />

-80<br />

-120<br />

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45<br />

Residual Actual Fitted<br />

Pour le Roy<strong>au</strong>me Uni de 1800 à 1847 : données fichier DieJou 11, Feuille 1, Page 5<br />

1) Linéaire<br />

Dependent Variable: UK<br />

M<strong>et</strong>hod: Least Squares<br />

Date: 09/11/06 Time: 22:25<br />

Sample: 1800 1847<br />

Included observations: 48<br />

UK=C(1)*@TREND+C(2)<br />

Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.<br />

C(1) -0.017526 0.035164 -0.498411 0.6206<br />

C(2) 20.75561 0.959250 21.63733 0.0000<br />

R-squared 0.005371 Mean dependent var 20.34375<br />

Adjusted R-squared -0.016251 S.D. dependent var 3.347905<br />

S.E. of regression 3.374999 Akaike info criterion 5.311441<br />

L<strong>La</strong>a moonnnnaai iiee uunni iiqquuee eeuur rooppééeennnnee. ..<br />

TToomee IIVV I<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

PPhhi iil lli iippppee JJoouur J rddoonn /<br />

11775599

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