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Maclean et al. - 2002 - Rice almanac source book for the most important e

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Internation<strong>al</strong> issues<br />

Past scientific research on various aspects of<br />

rice cultivation and on <strong>the</strong> rice plant itself<br />

has been responsible <strong>for</strong> remarkable gains<br />

in <strong>the</strong> productivity of rice-farming systems.<br />

However, rice production must increase if it is to<br />

keep pace with population growth. The scope <strong>for</strong><br />

expansion of rice-growing areas is limited. Most<br />

of <strong>the</strong> increase will have to come from improved<br />

plants and from production m<strong>et</strong>hods that are<br />

more efficient y<strong>et</strong> more environment<strong>al</strong>ly<br />

sustainable.<br />

Here, we look at sever<strong>al</strong> major issues:<br />

de<strong>al</strong>ing with a future in which less water is<br />

available, ways to increase <strong>the</strong> yield potenti<strong>al</strong> of<br />

<strong>the</strong> rice plant, steps toward making rice more<br />

nutritious, <strong>for</strong>ecasting and de<strong>al</strong>ing with <strong>the</strong><br />

effects on rice plants and ecosystems of glob<strong>al</strong><br />

climate change, reducing greenhouse gas<br />

emissions from rice fields, <strong>the</strong> new research area<br />

of function<strong>al</strong> genomics, biotechnology, and<br />

integrating knowledge through crop modeling.<br />

The looming water crisis<br />

The amount of water needed to produce one ton<br />

of rice would fill b<strong>et</strong>ween two and three<br />

Olympic-sized swimming pools.<br />

Nearly 90% of fresh water diverted <strong>for</strong><br />

human use in Asia goes to agriculture and, of<br />

this, more than 50% is used to irrigate rice.<br />

China’s Yellow River, which flows <strong>for</strong> 4,600 km<br />

through some of Asia’s richest farmland, has run<br />

dry nearly every year since 1972. In South Asia,<br />

<strong>the</strong> Ganges and Indus rivers have <strong>al</strong><strong>most</strong> no<br />

outflow to <strong>the</strong> sea in <strong>the</strong> dry season.<br />

Too much water or too little<br />

Asia’s water problems are caused partly by <strong>the</strong><br />

uneven distribution of water. On <strong>the</strong> one hand,<br />

about h<strong>al</strong>f of China receives less than 400 mm of<br />

rainf<strong>al</strong>l a year, and extensive areas of<br />

northwestern, centr<strong>al</strong>, and sou<strong>the</strong>rn Asia are<br />

drought-prone. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, <strong>the</strong> Ifugao rice<br />

Precious irrigation water in Bangladesh.<br />

Internation<strong>al</strong> issues 31

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