Tunisia: Understanding Conflict 2012 - Johns Hopkins School of ...

graduates are even bleaker; the number of young unemployed graduates nearly doubled
in 10 years, from 1996 to 2006, but there has not been a corresponding increase in the
number of job opportunities. According to a recent study by the World Bank, 46% of
young graduates did not have a job 18 months after graduation, and nearly 50% of
graduates with Masters and higher level degrees were unemployed (World Bank, 2004,
6). However, as seen in Figure 1 below, Marco Stampini and Audrey Verdier-
Chouchane’s forecasting analysis reveals that the youth unemployment rate should drop
to 10.5% by 2018 (2011, 7).
Figure 1: Youth Unemployment Outlook in Tunisia
Source: Marco Stampini and Audrey Verdier-Chouchane, March 2011. The authors’
calculations are based on the Tunisian National Institute of Statistics’ and International
Labour Organization’s data and authors’ assumptions. The youth unemployment rate is
measured on the right hand side axis while the youth employment growth, GDP growth
and active youth growth are measured on the left hand side axis.
176