Tunisia: Understanding Conflict 2012 - Johns Hopkins School of ...

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• After the Tunisian Vote: Analyzing the First Elections of the Arab Spring, New America Foundation, 28 October 2011, POMED panel with o Daniel Brumberg, Senior Adviser at the Center for Conflict Analysis and Prevention, United States Institute of Peace o Leila Hilal, Co-Director, New America Foundation Middle East Task Force o Stephen McInerney, Executive Director, POMED o Steve Coll, President, New America Foundation • Hatem Bourial, author, journalist, TV personality, and democracy activist, American Tunisian Association and SAIS Conflict Management Program, SAIS, 7 November 2011. Towards Democracy - Who are the new actors in Tunisian political life? What are the new challenges after the first free elections? What are the next milestones in the roadmap leading Tunisia towards democracy? • Jose Gijon, Senior Economist, Middle East and Central Asia Department, International Monetary Fund, SAIS, 9 November 2011 • Chema Gargouri, manager and major shareholder of the Centre for Applied Training (CAT), American Tunisian Association and SAIS Conflict Management Program, SAIS, 14 November 2011. Role of Civil Society Organizations in Sustaining Tunisia’s Transition Towards Democracy • Radwan Masmoudi, Founder and President of the Center of the Study of Islam & Democracy (CSID), American Tunisian Association and SAIS Conflict Management Program, SAIS, 16 November 2011. Islam and Democracy - The election of members of the Constituent Assembly in Tunisia has brought declared Islamists into official Tunisian institutions for the first time. What does this mean for the future of the political system? What do Tunisian Muslims want and what do Islamist parties promise? 216
• Salah Bourjini, former division chief of UNDP (United Nations Development Program) in New York for the UNDP programs in the Arab World, American Tunisian Association and SAIS Conflict Management Program, SAIS, 29 November 2011. Tunisia: From Dictatorship to a Democratic Era. • Marina Ottaway, Senior Associate, Middle East Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, SAIS, 30 November 2011. • Rachid Ghannouchi, President of the Nahdha Party, SAIS, 1 December 2011 • Barrie Freman, Director, North Africa Program, National Democratic Institute, SAIS, 5 December 2011 • Daniel Brumberg, Senior Adviser at the Center for Conflict Analysis and Prevention, United States Institute of Peace and Associate Professor in the Department of Government at Georgetown University, SAIS, 6 December 2011 Itinerary—Conflict Management Field Trip to Tunisia: 22-29 January 2012 Saturday 21 January – Sunday 22 January Participants arrive in Tunis Sunday 22 January Walking tour of Carthage and Sidi Bou Saïd (optional) Group Arrival Briefing at the Carlton Hotel, 31 avenue Habib Bourguiba,Tunis 217
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Johns Hopkins University School for
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Acknowledgements We are most gratef
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List of Acronyms AKP Adalet ve Kalk
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xii
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proposed goal (as in the previous e
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democracy is a continual testing pr
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What’s in a Revolution? The timin
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limited to Tunisia, these vivid dep
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political system before any of the
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discontent of so many in Tunisia wh
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eality,” signified by Tunisian pe
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mantra sparked the Kasbah sit-ins r
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in early January of 2011, you would
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independence from the Ottoman Empir
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ack to the 1970s (SAIS Group Meetin
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Two Tunisias: How A Revolution Whic
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continued to cite statistics claimi
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inequality were most severe. Combat
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in government could drop precipitou
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for bold political leadership in Tu
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History of Secularism in Tunisia In
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1) Freedom to form and to join orga
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Source: Stepan, Alfred C. “Religi
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terms of campaigning, the political
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that in practice many people who es
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Short-term • Secular parties must
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Islamism and Laïcité in the Tunis
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girl, a high-achieving student at h
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laws are either supported directly
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and she argues that he, like many s
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during exams, preventing other stud
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Constituent Assembly should keep th
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Women’s Rights in Tunisia: A “N
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dismiss the question as a non-issue
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In immediate post-revolutionary Tun
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Others express concern about the va
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something every Tunisian boy does n
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Mr. Ghannouchi is equally surprised
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Mr. Hedri showed concern over the l
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has occurred in response to politic
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The Post-Transition Constitutional
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Theoretical Literature While there
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Tunisian Case Following Ben Ali’s
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parties. With the internal arrangem
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issues of unemployment, reduced cor
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Recommendations • NCA and politic
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Political Party Development Amy Ham
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experience and expertise, will be k
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with Laryssa Chomiak, SAIS group me
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epresented a complete departure fro
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To some extent, the focus on the qu
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• Enhance the legitimacy and enfo
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Ennahdha and the Salafis Roberta Lu
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The trial against Nabil Karoui, the
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Some Possible Explanations The hesi
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the salafist movement Al-Salafiya A
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violence, to lay the bases for a ne
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Tunisian Civil Society Before and A
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Bourguiba,” Bellin points out,
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nip in the bud any challenges to pa
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“training-of-trainers” (ToT) ev
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The focus of civil society groups i
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economic development in Tunisia. Th
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The Tunisian Youth Fallout: A Look
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that they found voting to be the mo
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head (Dégage, 2011). It should the
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graduates are unemployed (SAIS Grou
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to participate as a citizen in a de
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are rumored to consist only of 3,00
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Medium-term • At some point, the
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Part III: Security, Justice and Eco
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The Role of the Military in Post-Be
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insufficient to prevent the demonst
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disruptions during voting, the tota
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This is in sharp contrast to the mi
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Recommendations While the military
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Internal Security and Reform in Tun
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The Implements of Repression There
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undesirable organizations, stifle d
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evolution, many police, especially
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A Way Forward: Policy Reforms At pr
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Transitional Justice and National R
Page 177 and 178: Those released therefore included p
Page 179 and 180: The current situation in many ways
Page 181 and 182: circulating that the informal strik
Page 183 and 184: the commercial interests of the ban
Page 185 and 186: and clear limits to police behavior
Page 187 and 188: Addressing Unemployment Rebekah Cha
Page 189 and 190: The forecasting is based on the ass
Page 191 and 192: of its revolution. This has had a c
Page 193 and 194: Boosting the Tourism Sector The tou
Page 195 and 196: absorb all of the university gradua
Page 197 and 198: language and technology skills, whi
Page 199 and 200: Understanding Unemployment in Tunis
Page 201 and 202: ather than shifts from low to high
Page 203 and 204: Figure 2: Unemployment by age and e
Page 205 and 206: the Tunisian economy. Thus, creatin
Page 207 and 208: • Encourage entrepreneurship: Tra
Page 209 and 210: U.S. Assistance in Tunisia Cody Die
Page 211 and 212: cultural differences that may inhib
Page 213 and 214: the Constitutional Assembly in Tuni
Page 215 and 216: order to receive these funds over o
Page 217 and 218: and access to jobs in Libya for Tun
Page 219 and 220: Conclusion P. Terrence Hopmann The
Page 221 and 222: the domination of the salafis and o
Page 223 and 224: well educated, but under or unemplo
Page 225 and 226: persons, a huge contingent for such
Page 227: List of Interviewees Washington DC,
Page 231 and 232: • Ahmed Ibrahim, Secretary of the
Page 233 and 234: Bibliography Abouzeid, Rania. 21 Ja
Page 235 and 236: Cook, Steven A. 20 January 2011.
Page 237 and 238: Le Monde. 25 January 2011. “Tunis
Page 239 and 240: Silver, Vernon. 12 December 2011.
Page 241: World Bank. 2004. “Dynamique de L
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