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Short Range Transit Plan 2008-2013 - Omnitrans

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IBI GROUP<br />

SHORT RANGE TRANSIT PLAN REPORT<br />

OMNITRANS COMPREHENSIVE OPERATIONAL ASSESSMENT<br />

& SHORT RANGE TRANSIT PLAN<br />

Enhance Economic Development<br />

Public transit provides access to jobs, retail concentrations and local attractions. High quality public<br />

transit allows employers to better fill positions and retain employees, and gives improved access to retail<br />

concentrations and local recreation/entertainment attractions, increasing market size and sales volumes.<br />

1.5 Traffic<br />

Traffic congestion continues to increase with population growth, low-density development and a high<br />

reliance on SOV use. The 2005 Urban Mobility Report 1 ranked Riverside and San Bernardino Counties<br />

ninth in the nation in terms of traveler delays due to congestion. Increasing traffic congestion poses two<br />

critical challenges for <strong>Omnitrans</strong>: 1) increased bus running times, which have a negative impact on ontime<br />

performance, service reliability, and ridership; and 2) finding a practical and effective role for public<br />

transit in a strategic effort to move travelers from SOV to High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) use.<br />

Traffic congestion will continue to be a critical issue in the <strong>Omnitrans</strong> service area, resulting in longer<br />

regional commute times, increases in local travel times for work and non-work related trips, increases in<br />

parking capacity requirements, higher household travel costs, and a general deterioration of the quality of<br />

life. A significant mode shift to public transit will not be possible until land use development goals reflect<br />

an urban landscape that supports efficient and effective transit service.<br />

1.6 Population and Employment Growth<br />

<strong>Omnitrans</strong> service area population is projected to grow from 1,342,465 in FY 2004/05 to 1,427,242 in FY<br />

2009/10 (a 6% increase), and to 1,536,138 in FY 2014/15 (a 14% increase). During the same period,<br />

150,191 new jobs will be created in the <strong>Omnitrans</strong> service area. The majority of these will be created in<br />

the trade, transportation and utilities industries (approximately 54%) and in the office and administrative<br />

support sectors (approximately 26%).<br />

While this is healthy growth for San Bernardino’s economy, it does not necessarily translate to growth in<br />

<strong>Omnitrans</strong>’ market. Much of this growth will occur at the periphery of <strong>Omnitrans</strong>’ service area, in lowdensity,<br />

geographically dispersed business parks and subdivisions that are difficult to serve costeffectively<br />

with transit. And while there will be an overall net increase in employment and population,<br />

some of <strong>Omnitrans</strong>’ core service areas are losing jobs and people, which has contributed to the current<br />

decline in systemwide ridership.<br />

Nevertheless, <strong>Omnitrans</strong> has seen ridership increases in parts of its service area that are adding<br />

population and employment, and it is in such areas that future opportunities for growing ridership will<br />

come. Currently, high-density areas with over 7,500 people per square mile and over 5,000 jobs per<br />

square mile in the <strong>Omnitrans</strong> service area include:<br />

• Southeast Upland, south of SR-66 and north of I-10.<br />

• Southern Montclair, along Holt.<br />

• Central Rialto, south of SR-66 along Riverside Avenue.<br />

By 2015, these three areas will be joined by four other areas with high population and job densities earlier<br />

specified. These additional areas are:<br />

• San Bernardino, east of I-215 along Highland and Baseline.<br />

1<br />

2005 Urban Mobility Report, David Schrank and Tim Lomax, Texas Transportation Institute, (May 2005), p.12.<br />

July 11, 2007 4

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