Short Range Transit Plan 2008-2013 - Omnitrans

IBI GROUP
SHORT RANGE TRANSIT PLAN REPORT
OMNITRANS COMPREHENSIVE OPERATIONAL ASSESSMENT
& SHORT RANGE TRANSIT PLAN
Fare increases are structured to reach the goal of a 25% Operating Ratio. The goal is achieved in FY
2012, with the Operating Ratio slightly under goal in FY 2013. The Operating Ratio will change with
modifications to operating and capital budgets. Estimated operating ratios for the plan period are shown
in Figure 11-5:
Figure 11-5: Operating Ratios
Operating Ratio 1 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013
Fixed Route (Direct &
OmniLink)
21.4% 22.0% 20.7% 21.9% 25.5% 24.7%
Access 11.9% 12.1% 11.9% 13.2% 14.6% 14.2%
1 Operating Ratio = (Fare Revenue + Measure I Subsidy)/Operating Cost
• Measure I subsidy calculated using methodology from new agreement between
by Omnitrans and SANBAG.
• Grant revenues reflect data provided by SANBAG.
• Fixed Route operating costs increased by $1.5 million in FY 2010 to account for
expiration of fuel tax credit.
• Capital costs for FY 2009 through FY 2013 reflect draft CIP supplied by
Omnitrans, except as noted below.
• Capital costs after FY 2008 inflated at the Consumer Price Index for All Urban
Consumers (CPI-U) for the Los Angeles Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical
Area (CMSA). Source: Cal CPI Forecast BBFYCPI_003.xls, September 2006.
• Fixed route vehicle replacement assumed to be 15 vehicles per year for FY 2010
through FY 2013 to lessen impact of large vehicle replacements expected in FY
2011 and FY 2012.
• Costs and funding for E Street BRT project (sbX) assumed to be $142.7 million
(year-of-expenditure dollars) for Phase 1 (including vehicles). Funding based on
data provided by Omnitrans and reviewed by SANBAG.
• Funding shortfall for E Street BRT project (sbX) of approximately $10.8 million in
FY 2012 assumed to be paid with excess Local Transportation Funds (LTF)
pending acquisition of other funds.
• Future Access service assumed to be operated with existing fleet and revenue
hours due to improved productivity and dampened demand due to fare
increases. No supplemental taxi service is assumed.
July 11, 2007 236