Business Case for the SunShine CoaSt airport Master Plan

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14 • Qantas Group firm orders reduce from 65 to 50 aircraft, comprising 35 B787-9s (down from 50) and 15 B787-8s. • The Group's first 15 aircraft will be B787-9s for Jetstar's international operations, and will be delivered from mid-2013. Jetstar was to take delivery of 15 smaller B787-8s in mid-2010; has been operating six Airbus A330s whilst waiting delivery. • 15 B787-8s follow over the 12 months from the fourth quarter of 2014 for Qantas' Australian domestic operations and to retire the remaining Qantas B767-300 fleet. • 20 B787-9s, to be used for both Qantas and Jetstar international operations, will be delivered from the fourth quarter of 2015 through to 2017. • Qantas retains the ability to purchase up to 50 additional aircraft. The Qantas Group has continued to make changes to its international and domestic services. The changes include capacity cuts and the replacement of Qantas services with Jetstar services on a number of routes. Jetstar cancelled/suspended routes include: Sydney-Whitsunday Coast, Adelaide-Sunshine Coast, Brisbane-Hobart, Sydney-Hervey Bay, and Melbourne-Ballina. Jetstar has replaced Qantas on routes including: Perth-Denpasar, Perth-Jakarta, Perth-Cairns, Cairns-Tokyo, and on all New Zealand domestic routes. Other routes new to (or planned for) Jetstar during 2009 include: Auckland-Gold Coast, Auckland-Sydney, Adelaide-Perth, Cairns-Gold Coast, Perth-Sydney, and Cairns-Osaka. Virgin Group Phases I-III of Virgin Blue’s capacity management plans saw 2008/09 domestic capacity cut from a budgeted 20.2% to 4.5%. Phase IV saw a further cut to 2.4%. The impact of these cuts would see 2009/10 domestic growth at negative 2.4%. Most recently Virgin Blue has announced that FY10 planned domestic capacity is down around 5% and FY11 will be flat. Virgin Blue routes cancelled during 2008 include Sydney-Proserpine, and Melbourne-Darwin. Australian domestic schedules were revised following the de-scheduling of the five Boeing 737 aircraft from May 2009; the capacity reduction equated to the removal of 28 flights daily from a total of over 330 domestic daily services. The latest reductions applied to high frequency routes, with no market withdrawals. Virgin Blue has received all six Embraer E-170s it had ordered and thirteen of the eighteen ordered E-190s; five E-190s were deferred into 2010/2011. Five new domestic services had commenced in April 2009 redeploying some the Embraer fleet: Canberra to Hobart and Townsville, and Townsville to Gold Coast, Rockhampton and Cairns. Other routes new to (or planned for) Virgin Blue during 2009 include: Darwin to Melbourne and Perth, Sydney to Hamilton Island, and Perth to Port Hedland. The Pacific Blue fleet has been increased by the redeployment of Virgin Blue’s B737’s, allowing an expansion of its services including: new direct services to Denpasar from Sydney and Melbourne, to Fiji from Adelaide and Melbourne, and to Sydney and Brisbane from four new NZ ports.
V Australia commenced services between Los Angeles and Sydney in February 2009, and Los-Angeles-Brisbane services in April. Services between Los Angeles and Melbourne are to commence in September. Tiger Airways Tiger Airways suspended its Melbourne-Newcastle services from August 2008 and cancelled its Darwin-Melbourne and Darwin-Singapore services from October 2008. In March 2009 Tiger opened a new hub in Adelaide and added five new routes to its network; Adelaide to Alice Springs, Canberra, Gold Coast, Hobart, and to Perth. Adelaide-Perth services are to be suspended from October 2009. In July 2009 the airline commenced new services from Sydney to Adelaide and to Melbourne. The airline has nine A320s in Singapore, plus two A319s. Four A320s are based in Melbourne and two A320s in Adelaide. Tiger recently announced that it will add a fifth aircraft to its Melbourne airport base before the start of the Australian summer. The delivery will see Tiger's Australian fleet grow to seven aircraft. Firm orders bring the total aircraft commitment to 72; Tiger has reported that up to 30 of the new aircraft could come to Australia. AirAsia X AirAsia X commenced Australian international services in November 2007; currently operates services from the Gold Coast, Perth and Melbourne to Kuala Lumpur. AirAsia Indonesia commenced daily Perth-Denpasar services in July 2009. AirAsia Indonesia has six Airbus A320 aircraft. AirAsia X operates with four aircraft (three Airbus A330s and one Airbus A340). The airline has recently ordered 10 Airbus A350-900s, with the option of 5 more, to be used to link its Kuala Lumpur hub with destinations worldwide, especially in Europe and Australia. Deliveries for the A350s are scheduled between 2016 and 2018. AirAsia X’s previous order of 25 A330s is scheduled for delivery through 2015 with two already delivered. (2) Australasian Full Service Airlines Qantas While announcing capacity cuts (see Jetstar above) Qantas intends to proceed with its major fleet re-equipment program of new and more fuel efficient aircraft such as the A380 and B787. Tactical network changes include: • Jetstar establishing an A320 aircraft operation in Auckland, and growing its trans- Tasman frequencies. • Jetstar becoming the largest Qantas Group operator on the Australia–Japan route. • Removal of first-class offerings from the San Francisco, Buenos Aires and Melbourne- Hong Kong-London routes following the decline in premium demand. 15
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Business Case for the Sunshine Coas
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0 60 120 240 360 480 600 Meters Whi
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Sunshine Coast Airport Master Plan
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Acknowledgement This Master Plan ha
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1 Executive Summary 1.1 Introductio
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1.6 Peak Stand Demand FIGURE 1-3 BU
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TABLE 1-2 PARKING DEMAND FORECAST Y
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1.12 2020 Master Plan A layout show
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1 Introduction 1.1 Sunshine Coast A
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723 submissions were received from
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2 Aviation Demand Forecast 2.1 Hist
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FIGURE 2-3 HISTORIC AND FORECAST AN
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FIGURE 2-6 HISTORIC AND FORECAST AN
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2.5 Peak Stand Demand Peak stand de
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FIGURE 3-1 RPT APRON LAYOUT 3.3.2 G
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4 Passenger Terminal 4.1 Terminal T
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FIGURE 4-1 2020 TERMINAL LAYOUT CON
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access road is constructed the airp
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6 Runways 6.1 Existing Facilities S
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The public consultation which accom
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7 Taxiways 7.1 Runway 18/36 Taxiway
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Sunshine Coast Airport has recently
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FIGURE 8-1 AVIATION SUPPORT FACILIT
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9 Master Plan 9.1 2020 Master Plan
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10 Environmental Impacts 10.1 Aircr
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Arrivals, departures and training c
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♦ Figure 10-2 : 2025 New Runway 1
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10.1.8 Flight Path Movement Chart I
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Boronia rosmarinifolia Eucalyptus c
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FIGURE 10-8 OBSTACLE LIMITATION SUR
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Development Commence detailed studi
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Appendices Appendix A - Schedule of
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Date Organisation Position 28-04-05
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Appendix B - SCA Public Participati
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A media relations campaign was also
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appendix b Project Implementation S
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New Runway Project Strategy Documen
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New Runway Project Strategy Glossar
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New Runway Project Strategy Table o
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New Runway Project Strategy Executi
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New Runway Project Strategy Milesto
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New Runway Project Strategy Feasibi
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New Runway Project Strategy Project
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New Runway Project Strategy 1. Intr
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New Runway Project Strategy 2.4.2.
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New Runway Project Strategy obligat
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New Runway Project Strategy 2.10. F
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New Runway Project Strategy 3. New
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New Runway Project Strategy 3.6. As
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New Runway Project Strategy 3.9.1.
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New Runway Project Strategy 4. Stak
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Page 146 and 147: New Runway Project Strategy 6. Work
Page 148 and 149: New Runway Project Strategy 7. Proj
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Page 152 and 153: New Runway Project Strategy Council
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Page 156 and 157: New Runway Project Strategy 9.4. Fo
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Page 160 and 161: New Runway Project Strategy Vol X.0
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Page 166 and 167: New Runway Project Strategy preferr
Page 168 and 169: Appendix 1 to Sunshine Coast Airpor
Page 178 and 179: Sunshine Coast Airport Traffic Fore
Page 180 and 181: 10. Glossary.......................
Page 182 and 183: 2 2. Sunshine Coast Airport Traffic
Page 184 and 185: 4 Table 2.1: Sunshine Coast Airport
Page 186 and 187: 6 2.3 Current Airline Services As a
Page 188 and 189: 8 3. Forecast Approach & Review of
Page 190 and 191: Australian aviation has not felt th
Page 192 and 193: In its review of possible strongly
Page 196 and 197: 16 • Melbourne-Shanghai services
Page 198 and 199: In the IVS and NVS the ‘Sunshine
Page 200 and 201: 20 • The Sunshine Coast’s labou
Page 202 and 203: 22 5. Forecast Scenarios and Outcom
Page 204 and 205: 24 o New Asian route(s) added leadi
Page 206 and 207: Figure 5.1 presents the passenger m
Page 208 and 209: 28 6. Busy Hour Analysis 6.1 Review
Page 210 and 211: 30 Seats/Aircraft: Table 6.3: Busy
Page 212 and 213: 32 Table 7.2: Sunshine Coast Gross
Page 214 and 215: 34 8.2 Current Airline Routes and F
Page 216 and 217: 36 9. Attachment 3: Potential Impac
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Page 220 and 221: 40 DISCLAIMER The Forecasts describ
Page 222: Sunshine Coast Airport Airport Mast
Page 227 and 228: 1 Executive Summary
Page 229 and 230: Executive Summary The types of econ
Page 231 and 232: 2 Background
Page 233 and 234: Background 2.2 Contract requirement
Page 235 and 236: Background Sunshine Coast Airport P
Page 237 and 238: Approach and methodology 3.1 Overvi
Page 239 and 240: Approach and methodology 3.2 Method
Page 241 and 242: Approach and methodology 3.3 Method
Page 243 and 244: Approach and methodology Components
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Approach and methodology Components
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Approach and methodology 3.4.4 Othe
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Approach and methodology 3.5 Method
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Results and discussion 4.1 Overview
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Results and discussion 10,000 Passe
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Results and discussion PV Revenue -
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The NPVs for each of the precincts
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Results and discussion 4.4 Economic
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Results and discussion PV monetised
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Results and discussion Indirect emp
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Results and discussion 4.5 Consolid
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Results and discussion 4.5.1 Result
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Results and discussion The overall
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Results and discussion Economic ind
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Results and discussion Alternative
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5 Conclusions and recommendations
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Appendices
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Appendix B Key assumptions NOT FOR
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Appendix D Demand Summary NOT FOR P
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pwc.com.au © 2009 PricewaterhouseC
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0 2.5 5 10 15 20 Kilometers 1 cm =
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appendix f Infrastructure Australia
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INFRASTRUCTURE AUSTRALIA REFORM AND
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ü Build on Australias global compe
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Stage 1: Goal Definition national a
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Stage 1: Goal Definition which is i
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Stage 1: Goal Definition and operat
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Stage 2 and 3: Problem Identificati
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Stage 2 and 3: Problem Identificati
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Stage 4: Problem Analysis Outline t
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Stage 5: Option Generation The Bris
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Stage 5: Option Generation Convenie
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Stage 5: Option Generation vii. inc
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Stage 5: Option Generation charges
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INFRASTRUCTURE AUSTRALIA REFORM AND
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DETAILED APPRAISAL This section set
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Cost Estimation The capital and ope
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A risk assessment should be underta
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Non-Monetised Benefits and Costs Th
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Discounted airfares provided by low
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30m wide runway. SCA is one of four
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SCA is included in the regional pla
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SCRC’s draft economic development
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Key directions to guide the prepara
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It is estimated that the current te
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· $143m for other Master Plan proj
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Operating costs have not been indep
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The number of passenger hours saved
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Airline savings are calculated usin
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Incremental expenditure is calculat
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23 | P a g e KEY ASSUMPTIONS UNDERP
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Appraisal Summary Table 2 MONETISED
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Incremental returns from leased pre
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Savings from avoided out-bound dela
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As noted above, all outputs for the
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6 | P a g e Airline savings from av
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Sensitivity test # Variation Benefi
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Appraisal Summary Table 4 NON-MONET
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Appraisal Summary Table 5 INFORMATI
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DELIVERABILITY ASSESSMENT Criteria
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DELIVERABILITY ASSESSMENT time, as
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DELIVERABILITY ASSESSMENT 5.Does th
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