Business Case for the SunShine CoaSt airport Master Plan

Based on its analysis of the schedules of SCA and GCA and given the frequencies currently
operated at SCA TFI has concluded that the most likely trend for busy hour development is:
• Initial development of domestic services into the periods between 1200 to 1330 hours
and 1000 to 1100 hours.
• In the longer term possible arrivals and departures of New Zealand and Asian flights
from the 0600 hour to 1130 hour period.
TFI has developed two busy hour scenarios as shown in Tables 6.2 and 6.3:
• With the current runway (Table 6.2): the busy hour passenger numbers grow by an
average 4.9% per annum over the period to 2029/30.
• With the new runway (Table 6.3): the number of aircraft on the apron grows from two
currently to seven by the end of the forecast period. The number of passenger arrivals
in the busy hour grows from 286 in the current year to 1,017 by 2029/30. This
represents an average increase of 6.2% annually over the forecast period. The
projections for 2008/09 to 2019/20 in Table 6.2 are created only to assist in assessing
the potential loss of movements given current runway limitations. It is assumed for
this analysis that the new runway would operate from 2019/20.
Seats/Aircraft:
Table 6.2: Busy Hour Scenario for Sunshine Coast Airport – Current Runway
Years end 30 June
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2025 2030
Flights Per Hour
110 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
144 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
177 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
180 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3
300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aircraft 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6
Aggregate Seats 357 357 467 467 467 467 647 791 791 971
Seat Factor 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80%
Passenger 286 286 374 374 374 374 518 633 633 777
Arrivals
Passenger
Departures
286 286 374 374 374 374 518 633 633 777
Source: TFI.
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