Business Case for the SunShine CoaSt airport Master Plan

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One-off benefits such as changes to the noise and safety zone locations occur at the date that RPT traffic is diverted from the existing runway and transferred to the new, re-located runway (again, 1 July 2020). A number of these one-off benefits also have a ramp up period to reflect expected lags in benefits as a result of the new configuration. For example, health benefits from reduced noise exposure for residents within the existing ANEF20 zone are only fully realised in the longer term (e.g. 5 years for hypertension and 25 years for heart disease impacts). There are a small number of benefits which accrue prior to the introduction of the new runway these are derived from incremental rental revenues for commercial/leased precincts which have take-up dates prior to 2020. The ramp up of overall benefits achieved in each year is set out in Appendix D of PwCs CBA report. 16 | P a g e KEY ASSUMPTIONS UNDERPINNING THE DEMAND FORECASTING AND ECONOMIC MODELLING Criteria IA description Response 5.Economic model parameters - benefits Benefits ramp up - Describe how benefits ramp up over the construction period, ie year 1 35%,year n X%. What source and/or assumptions inform this ramp up? Indirect economic benefits (i.e. benefits that do not accrue directly to SCA from additional rental revenues etc) accrue from 1 July 2020, in line with the operating date for the new runway. This represents the date at which the existing capability limitations are lifted and there is a first (small) step change in demand due to the opening of new routes. Benefits then ramp up over the entire appraisal period, as there is an assumed long-term demand growth parameter to 2050 (which is un-constrained by the capacity of the proposed runway and Master Plan facilities). The base case scenario also assumes a level of long-term growth, however this is ultimately capped by the operating limitations of the existing runway/terminal configuration. Thus, a number of key benefits ramp up in line with the growth in incremental demand due to the improved capability of the new runway and therefore the ability to service different airlines/aircraft and routes.
The number of passenger hours saved is calculated as the product of the estimated number of avoided diversions due to the wider and better orientated runway (% of flights), the average passenger load (%), and the average inbound passenger waste time per diversion (minutes). This is then monetised with reference to the lower-bound of CASAs published estimates of passenger value of travel time (VoTT) per hour ($65-$85, real $2005). VoTT in real $2009, is equal to approximately $68.30 per hour. The number of avoided diversions is based on SCAs current total diversion rate and the rate of diversions from bad weather events (which are affected by the size and orientation of the existing runway) saved diversions represent 1% of total flights (current diversion rate at SCA is approximately 1.4% of total flights). Average inbound passenger waste time is calculated with reference to the estimated time from the point of diversion to the delivery of passengers to SCA via alternative transport (coach) from Brisbane Airport. This comprises estimates of flight time from SCA to Brisbane Airport, transfer time and coach travel time from Brisbane Airport to SCA (in total, 3.5 hours per passenger per diversion). Growth rates are a function of a 1% real growth rate in VoTT (to reflect expected real wages growth over time) and the growth in aircraft movements (and therefore growth in the number of diversions avoided compared to the base case). Further information is provided in Section 3.4.1 of the PwC CBA Report. Savings from avoided flow-on delays (as a result of reduced bad weather diversions) is calculated 17 | P a g e KEY ASSUMPTIONS UNDERPINNING THE DEMAND FORECASTING AND ECONOMIC MODELLING Criteria IA description Response Benefit components - Describe the basis for estimating each benefit component, including growth rates over time. Travel time savings – passengers Savings from avoided inbound diversions: Savings from avoided outbound delays:
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Business Case for the Sunshine Coas
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0 60 120 240 360 480 600 Meters Whi
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Sunshine Coast Airport Master Plan
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Acknowledgement This Master Plan ha
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1 Executive Summary 1.1 Introductio
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1.6 Peak Stand Demand FIGURE 1-3 BU
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TABLE 1-2 PARKING DEMAND FORECAST Y
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1.12 2020 Master Plan A layout show
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1 Introduction 1.1 Sunshine Coast A
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723 submissions were received from
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2 Aviation Demand Forecast 2.1 Hist
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FIGURE 2-3 HISTORIC AND FORECAST AN
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FIGURE 2-6 HISTORIC AND FORECAST AN
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2.5 Peak Stand Demand Peak stand de
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FIGURE 3-1 RPT APRON LAYOUT 3.3.2 G
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4 Passenger Terminal 4.1 Terminal T
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FIGURE 4-1 2020 TERMINAL LAYOUT CON
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access road is constructed the airp
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6 Runways 6.1 Existing Facilities S
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The public consultation which accom
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7 Taxiways 7.1 Runway 18/36 Taxiway
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Sunshine Coast Airport has recently
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FIGURE 8-1 AVIATION SUPPORT FACILIT
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9 Master Plan 9.1 2020 Master Plan
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10 Environmental Impacts 10.1 Aircr
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Arrivals, departures and training c
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♦ Figure 10-2 : 2025 New Runway 1
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10.1.8 Flight Path Movement Chart I
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Boronia rosmarinifolia Eucalyptus c
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FIGURE 10-8 OBSTACLE LIMITATION SUR
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Development Commence detailed studi
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Appendices Appendix A - Schedule of
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Date Organisation Position 28-04-05
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Appendix B - SCA Public Participati
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A media relations campaign was also
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appendix b Project Implementation S
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New Runway Project Strategy Documen
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New Runway Project Strategy Glossar
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New Runway Project Strategy Table o
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New Runway Project Strategy Executi
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New Runway Project Strategy Milesto
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New Runway Project Strategy Feasibi
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New Runway Project Strategy Project
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New Runway Project Strategy 1. Intr
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New Runway Project Strategy 2.4.2.
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New Runway Project Strategy obligat
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New Runway Project Strategy 2.10. F
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New Runway Project Strategy 3. New
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New Runway Project Strategy 3.6. As
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New Runway Project Strategy 3.9.1.
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New Runway Project Strategy 4. Stak
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New Runway Project Strategy 5. Feas
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New Runway Project Strategy 6. Work
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New Runway Project Strategy 7. Proj
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New Runway Project Strategy 8. Proj
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New Runway Project Strategy Council
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New Runway Project Strategy o New b
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New Runway Project Strategy 9.4. Fo
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New Runway Project Strategy 10.7. R
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New Runway Project Strategy Vol X.0
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New Runway Project Strategy 12. Pro
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New Runway Project Strategy 13.5. R
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New Runway Project Strategy preferr
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Appendix 1 to Sunshine Coast Airpor
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Sunshine Coast Airport Traffic Fore
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10. Glossary.......................
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2 2. Sunshine Coast Airport Traffic
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4 Table 2.1: Sunshine Coast Airport
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6 2.3 Current Airline Services As a
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8 3. Forecast Approach & Review of
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Australian aviation has not felt th
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In its review of possible strongly
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14 • Qantas Group firm orders red
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16 • Melbourne-Shanghai services
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In the IVS and NVS the ‘Sunshine
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20 • The Sunshine Coast’s labou
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22 5. Forecast Scenarios and Outcom
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24 o New Asian route(s) added leadi
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Figure 5.1 presents the passenger m
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28 6. Busy Hour Analysis 6.1 Review
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30 Seats/Aircraft: Table 6.3: Busy
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32 Table 7.2: Sunshine Coast Gross
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34 8.2 Current Airline Routes and F
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36 9. Attachment 3: Potential Impac
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38 10. Glossary Data Sourced from t
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40 DISCLAIMER The Forecasts describ
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Sunshine Coast Airport Airport Mast
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1 Executive Summary
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Executive Summary The types of econ
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2 Background
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Background 2.2 Contract requirement
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Background Sunshine Coast Airport P
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Approach and methodology 3.1 Overvi
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Approach and methodology 3.2 Method
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Approach and methodology Components
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Approach and methodology Components
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Approach and methodology 3.4.4 Othe
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Results and discussion 4.1 Overview
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Results and discussion 10,000 Passe
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Results and discussion PV Revenue -
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The NPVs for each of the precincts
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Results and discussion 4.4 Economic
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Results and discussion PV monetised
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Results and discussion Indirect emp
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Results and discussion 4.5 Consolid
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Results and discussion 4.5.1 Result
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Results and discussion The overall
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Results and discussion Economic ind
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Results and discussion Alternative
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5 Conclusions and recommendations
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Appendices
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Appendix B Key assumptions NOT FOR
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Appendix D Demand Summary NOT FOR P
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pwc.com.au © 2009 PricewaterhouseC
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0 2.5 5 10 15 20 Kilometers 1 cm =
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appendix f Infrastructure Australia
Page 291 and 292: INFRASTRUCTURE AUSTRALIA REFORM AND
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Page 295 and 296: Stage 1: Goal Definition national a
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Page 307 and 308: Stage 5: Option Generation The Bris
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Page 313 and 314: Stage 5: Option Generation charges
Page 315 and 316: INFRASTRUCTURE AUSTRALIA REFORM AND
Page 317 and 318: DETAILED APPRAISAL This section set
Page 319 and 320: Cost Estimation The capital and ope
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Page 325 and 326: Discounted airfares provided by low
Page 327 and 328: 30m wide runway. SCA is one of four
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Page 331 and 332: SCRC’s draft economic development
Page 333 and 334: Key directions to guide the prepara
Page 335 and 336: It is estimated that the current te
Page 337 and 338: · $143m for other Master Plan proj
Page 339: Operating costs have not been indep
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Page 349 and 350: Appraisal Summary Table 2 MONETISED
Page 351 and 352: Incremental returns from leased pre
Page 353 and 354: Savings from avoided out-bound dela
Page 355 and 356: As noted above, all outputs for the
Page 357 and 358: 6 | P a g e Airline savings from av
Page 359 and 360: Sensitivity test # Variation Benefi
Page 361 and 362: Appraisal Summary Table 4 NON-MONET
Page 363 and 364: Appraisal Summary Table 5 INFORMATI
Page 365 and 366: DELIVERABILITY ASSESSMENT Criteria
Page 367 and 368: DELIVERABILITY ASSESSMENT time, as
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