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ATTP 5-0.1 Commander and Staff Officer Guide - Army Electronic ...

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Chapter 6<br />

Running Estimates<br />

This chapter defines running estimate <strong>and</strong> describes how the comm<strong>and</strong>er <strong>and</strong> staff<br />

build <strong>and</strong> maintain their running estimates throughout the operations process. This<br />

chapter provides a generic running estimate format that the comm<strong>and</strong>er <strong>and</strong> each staff<br />

section may modify to fit their functional area. See JP 5-0 for information on joint<br />

estimates.<br />

TYPES OF RUNNING ESTIMATES<br />

6-1. A running estimate is the continuous assessment of the current situation used to determine if the<br />

current operation is proceeding according to the comm<strong>and</strong>er’s intent <strong>and</strong> if planned future operations are<br />

supportable (FM 5-0). The comm<strong>and</strong>er <strong>and</strong> each staff section maintain a running estimate. In their running<br />

estimates, the comm<strong>and</strong>er <strong>and</strong> each staff section continuously consider the effects of new information <strong>and</strong><br />

update the following:<br />

� Facts.<br />

� Assumptions.<br />

� Friendly force status.<br />

� Enemy activities <strong>and</strong> capabilities.<br />

� Civil considerations.<br />

� Conclusions <strong>and</strong> recommendations.<br />

6-2. <strong>Comm<strong>and</strong>er</strong>s maintain their running estimates to consolidate their underst<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> visualization of<br />

an operation. The comm<strong>and</strong>er’s running estimate summarizes the problem <strong>and</strong> integrates information <strong>and</strong><br />

knowledge of the staff’s <strong>and</strong> subordinate comm<strong>and</strong>ers’ running estimates.<br />

6-3. Each staff section builds <strong>and</strong> maintains running estimates. The running estimate helps the staff to<br />

track <strong>and</strong> record pertinent information as well as to provide recommendations to comm<strong>and</strong>ers. Running<br />

estimates represent the analysis <strong>and</strong> expert opinion of each staff section by functional area. <strong>Staff</strong>s maintain<br />

running estimates throughout the operations process to assist comm<strong>and</strong>ers in the exercise of mission<br />

comm<strong>and</strong>.<br />

6-4. Each staff section <strong>and</strong> comm<strong>and</strong> post functional cell maintains a running estimate focused on how<br />

their specific areas of expertise are postured to support future operations. Because an estimate may be<br />

needed at any time, running estimates must be developed, revised, updated, <strong>and</strong> maintained continuously<br />

while in garrison <strong>and</strong> during operations. While in garrison, staffs must maintain a running estimate on<br />

friendly capabilities.<br />

ESSENTIAL QUALITIES OF RUNNING ESTIMATES<br />

6-5. A comprehensive running estimate addresses all aspects of operations <strong>and</strong> contains both facts <strong>and</strong><br />

assumptions based on the staff’s experience within a specific area of expertise. Figure 6-1 (page 6-2)<br />

provides the base format for a running estimate that parallels the planning process. Each staff section<br />

modifies it to account for their specific functional areas. All running estimates cover essential facts <strong>and</strong><br />

assumptions including a summary of the current situation by the mission variables, conclusions, <strong>and</strong><br />

recommendations. Once they complete the plan, comm<strong>and</strong>ers <strong>and</strong> staff sections continuously update their<br />

estimates.<br />

14 September 2011 <strong>ATTP</strong> 5-<strong>0.1</strong> 6-1

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