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Australia Yearbook - 2001

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Chapter 5—Population 133<br />

Million milestones<br />

<strong>Australia</strong>’s population was estimated to have<br />

reached 19 million during August 1999—five<br />

times the population of 1901 (3.8 million). From<br />

European settlement in 1788 it took 70 years for<br />

the population of <strong>Australia</strong> to reach one million.<br />

An additonal million people were added by<br />

1877. Subsequent millions were added in<br />

progressively shorter time intervals, with the six<br />

million mark reached in 1925. The Great<br />

Depression and WWII slowed the population<br />

growth to the seventh and eighth million as<br />

fertility and migration declined. Following<br />

WWII, the baby boom and post-war migration<br />

program increased population growth. Since<br />

1949, when the population reached 8 million,<br />

each successive million has been added in<br />

around 4 to 5 years. The seventeenth million<br />

reached in 1990 was the fastest million added,<br />

being attained in just 3 years and nine months.<br />

In mid 2004 the population is projected to<br />

reach the 20 million mark—4 years and nine<br />

months after the 19 million milestone in 1999.<br />

The interval between following millions is<br />

projected to increase in the 21st century as<br />

population growth slows from the ageing<br />

population and sustained lower fertility.<br />

5.5 AUSTRALIAN POPULATION GROWTH—Time<br />

Between Successive Millions(a)(b)<br />

Years/months from<br />

Year<br />

Millions previous million<br />

1858 1 70/0<br />

1877 2 19/0<br />

1889 3 12/0<br />

1905 4 16/0<br />

1918 5 13/0<br />

1925 6 7/0<br />

1939 7 14/0<br />

1949 8 10/11<br />

1954 9 4/9<br />

1959 10 4/7<br />

1963 11 4/7<br />

1968 12 4/8<br />

1972 13 4/9<br />

1976 14 5/0<br />

1981 15 5/7<br />

1986 16 4/8<br />

1990 17 3/9<br />

1995 18 5/0<br />

1999 19 4/5<br />

2004 20 4/9<br />

2009 21 5/5<br />

2015 22 5/10<br />

2021 23 6/4<br />

2029 24 7/3<br />

2040 25 11/8<br />

(a) Aboriginal people were not included in population<br />

estimates prior to 1961. (b) Years after 1999 are based on<br />

Population Projections, series II.<br />

Source: Official Year Book of the Commonwealth of<br />

<strong>Australia</strong> 1901–1910; <strong>Australia</strong>n Demographic Trends<br />

(3102.0); <strong>Australia</strong>n Demographic Statistics (3101.0);<br />

Population projections 1999–2101 (3222.0).<br />

5.6 COMPONENTS OF POPULATION GROWTH<br />

Rate(a)<br />

Natural increase<br />

20<br />

Net overseas migration<br />

15<br />

–5<br />

1901 1915 1929 1943 1957 1971 1985 1999<br />

(a) Rate per 1,000 population.<br />

Source: <strong>Australia</strong>n Demographic Statistics (3101.0); <strong>Australia</strong>n Demographic Trends (3102.0).<br />

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