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Australia Yearbook - 2001

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Chapter 5—Population 145<br />

0–14 years<br />

15–64 years<br />

65+ years<br />

5.21 PROPORTION OF POPULATION IN AGE GROUPS<br />

%<br />

100<br />

80<br />

0<br />

1921 1940 1960 1979 1999<br />

Source: <strong>Australia</strong>n Demography (Commonwealth Bureau of Census and Statistics);<br />

<strong>Australia</strong>n Demographic Statistics (3101.0).<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

Births<br />

In 1903, when the crude birth rate was lower<br />

than it had ever been before, the Royal<br />

Commission on the Decline in the Birth-rate and<br />

on the Mortality of Infants in New South Wales was<br />

appointed. It reported in 1904 and concluded that<br />

“...the cause or causes of the Decline of the<br />

Birth-rate must be a force or forces over which the<br />

people themselves have control...”. In other words,<br />

couples were limiting the size of their families.<br />

At the turn of the century there were 117 births<br />

per 1,000 women of child bearing ages<br />

(15–44 years). This gives a total fertility rate of<br />

approximately 3.5 babies per woman. By 1924<br />

the total fertility rate was 3.0 and falling.<br />

In 1934, in the Great Depression, the total fertility<br />

rate fell to 2.1 babies per woman. It then<br />

increased during the second half of the 1930s,<br />

as women who had deferred childbearing in the<br />

Depression years began to have children. Fertility<br />

increased through World War II and the 1950s,<br />

and peaked in 1961 when the total fertility rate<br />

reached 3.6 babies per woman (see graph 5.22).<br />

After the 1961 peak, the total fertility rate fell<br />

rapidly, to 2.9 babies per woman in 1966. This fall<br />

can be attributed to changing social attitudes, in<br />

particular a change in people’s perception of<br />

desired family size, facilitated by the<br />

contraceptive pill becoming available.<br />

During the 1970s the total fertility rate dropped<br />

again, falling to below replacement level in 1976,<br />

where it has remained since. This fall was more<br />

marked than the fall in the early 1960s and has<br />

been linked to the increasing participation of<br />

women in education and the labour force,<br />

changing attitudes to family size, lifestyle choices<br />

and the greater access to abortions.<br />

5.22 TOTAL FERTILITY RATE<br />

Rate(a)<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

1928 1938 1948 1958 1968 1978 1988 1998<br />

(a) Average number of babies per woman according to the age-specific fertility rates for each year.<br />

Source: <strong>Australia</strong>n Demographic Trends (3102.0); Births, <strong>Australia</strong> (3301.0).

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