Post 2015: Global Action for an Inclusive and Sustainable Future

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TAblE OF COnTEnTS x PART II. THE CHANGING CONTEXT FOR A NEW GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK 57 CHAPTER 4. THE CHANGING GLOBAL COMMUNITY 58 4.1 changing global patterns of power 58 4.2 a more complex tapestry of interests 60 4.3 What institutional outcomes are likely? 61 4.4 Implications for international development cooperation and the Eu 62 CHAPTER 5. CHANGES IN THE UNDERSTANDING OF GLOBAL POVERTY 66 5.1 Introduction 66 5.2 the evolution of income poverty 66 5.3 a changing understanding of poverty and wellbeing 73 5.4 Implications for a post-2015 agreement 78 CHAPTER 6. FUTURE CHALLENGES – SOME TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 80 6.1 Demographic trends 80 6.2 Economic trends 87 6.3 Environmental trends 94 6.4 conclusions 100 PART III. DRIVERS OF THE GLOBAL PARTNERSHIP FOR DEVELOPMENT 105 CHAPTER 7. MONEY: DEVELOPMENT FINANCE 106 7.1 Introduction and overview of recent trends 106 7.2 Domestic resource mobilisation through taxation 108 7.3 the development finance landscape: external financing 114 7.4 beyond borders: international cooperation in development finance 124 7.5 conclusion 135 CHAPTER 8. GOODS: TRADE AND INVESTMENT 138 8.1 Introduction 138 8.2 contours of a ‘beyond-mDGs’ agenda on trade and investment 139 8.3 changes in the structure and flows of trade and investment 144 8.4 the challenges faced by lIcs and lDcs 147 8.5 current and future Eu policies on trade and investment 155 8.6 trade and investment elements for a post-2015 global development agenda 160 8.7 conclusion 168 EuropEan rEport on DEvElopmEnt 2013
CHAPTER 9. PEOPLE: LABOUR MIGRATION 170 9.1 Introduction 170 9.2 the impact of labour mobility on sending and receiving countries 173 9.3 positions and policies on migrants’ rights and promoting migrant access to labour markets 180 9.4 Global framework on migrants’ rights 186 9.5 positions and policies on migrants’ rights and promoting migrants’ access to labour markets 189 9.6 the future framework 192 9.7 conclusion 193 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 195 CHAPTER 10. CONSTRUCTING THE POST-2015 AGENDA 196 10.1 Introduction 196 10.2 the case for a post-2015 framework 199 10.3 beyond mDGs: the content of a new framework 202 10.4 beyond aid: implementing a new framework 206 10.5 the design of a post-2015 framework 215 10.6 Implications for the Eu 222 REFERENCES 229 ANNEXES 259 ANNEX 1 – LIST OF MDG INDICATORS 260 ANNEX 2 – COUNTRY CASE STUDIES 264 1. nepal 264 2. rwanda 267 3. côte d’Ivoire 270 4. peru 274 ANNEX 3 – CORE PRINCIPLES FOR INVESTMENT POLICY-MAKING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 277 poSt-2015: Global actIon For an IncluSIvE anD SuStaInablE FuturE xI
Page 1 and 2: EUROPEAN REPORT ON DEVELOPMENT 2013
Page 3 and 4: MOBILISING EUROPEAN RESEARCH FOR DE
Page 5 and 6: FOREWORD The development road we ha
Page 7 and 8: ACknOWlEDgEmEnT The European report
Page 9: TAblE OF COnTEnTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENT V
Page 13 and 14: Figure 5.2 Evolution of depth of po
Page 15 and 16: EITI Extractive Industries transpar
Page 17 and 18: PSG peace-building and state-buildi
Page 19 and 20: mainly countries in Europe, north a
Page 21 and 22: ExEcutivE Summary poSt-2015: Global
Page 23 and 24: ExECuTIvE SummARy poSt-2015: Global
Page 25 and 26: poSt-2015: Global actIon For an Inc
Page 37 and 38: THE DEPLOYMENT OF A BROAD RANGE OF
Page 39 and 40: introduction poSt-2015: Global actI
Page 41 and 42: 2. The case for global collective a
Page 43 and 44: upon in order to promote a developm
Page 45 and 46: to achieve inclusive and sustainabl
Page 47 and 48: contribute to a global framework fo
Page 49 and 50: Part i. KEEPing thE PromiSE of thE
Page 51 and 52: mortality, and clean water and sani
Page 53 and 54: Table 1.2 Non-income MDGs, 1990-201
Page 55 and 56: Several regions significantly reduc
Page 57 and 58: Figure 1.1 Sectoral allocation of b
Page 59 and 60: of tailored objectives that are ins
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policy discourse. In particular, th
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processes and implementation arrang
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NEPAL RWANDA COTE D’IVOIRE PERU E
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• Nepal after over 200 years as a
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Box 2.3 Côte d’Ivoire’s MDG ac
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Declaration and the mDGs, and were
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drive or obstruct poverty-reduction
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Driven by political survival and co
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oader political processes in which
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incentive structures within which e
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partners: their capacities as donor
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Box 2.9 Fragility - Country case ex
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towards the achievement of the mDGs
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3.2 The EU’s role in advancing th
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at the 2010 mDG Summit, un member s
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adopted by individual governments,
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discussions on pcD are not based on
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Part ii. thE changing contExt for a
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Figure 4.1 Changing global power 20
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crops (ErD, 2012). at the same time
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egimes, and donor-driven aid condit
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for an Eu position to be agreed ahe
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of people living in extreme income
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the mDGs needs to concentrate on th
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deprivation, whether directly or th
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has been declining since the early
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vulnerability (ErD 2012). this repo
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a set of global development goals i
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need to focus on eradicating existi
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27.5 25 22.5 20 17.5 15 12.5 10 7.5
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105 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10
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due to the so-called arab Spring in
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moreover, migration policy can shap
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the Eu and 9% for the uSa. these sh
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accumulation patterns (from 35% of
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Table 6.1 Poverty projections expec
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6.3.1 Atmosphere and global warming
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supports ecosystem services that pr
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about 70% (mainly led by china, Ind
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scarcity leads to high and volatile
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ECONOMY DEMOGRAPHY ENVIRONMENT NEUT
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Part iii. drivErS of thE global Par
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Current USD Billions Current USD Bi
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global financial crisis has reduced
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lmIcs and lIcs (oEcD, 2011b). Figur
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Box 7.1 Efforts to increase tax rev
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While SSc is not new, it has receiv
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India (de Jesus, 2012). there has b
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levels of formal education. third,
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While the mobilisation of funds fro
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Box 7.4 EU blending facilities Sinc
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Box 7.5 The toolbox of innovative f
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Figure 7.8 Net capital flows to dev
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which are many in developed countri
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and financial inclusion (Deuchert a
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Box 7.8 Implications for post-2015
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a means to reach development goals
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PREDICTABILITY ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENC
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this chapter first looks at some of
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social development, largely fuelled
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Box 8.1 Joining the flying geese Ka
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these structural shifts in the driv
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traditional donors and investors, c
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1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Sou
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Figure 8.2 Share of primary commodi
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Box 8.2 Political economy of commod
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achieve results. With regard to tra
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in turn is highly dependent on Eu p
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productive capacity through value-a
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economies are structurally marginal
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impede exports to Eu, which are inc
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fair access to and equitable distri
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lDcs to foster trade growth and ach
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the role for trade and investment p
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labour migration produces remittanc
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the 2008 global financial crisis le
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Macro-economic impact International
Page 215 and 216:
Social impact and psychological wel
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labour during that period. this pro
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Millions 10.4 4 N 3 2 1 0 Mexico-US
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migration programmes (tmps) are usu
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date, four mobility partnerships ha
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labour organization (Ilo) refers to
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workers, point to areas of concern
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9.5.2 Mode IV in the WTO the Wto’
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9.6.2 What a post-2015 framework sh
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concluSionS and rEcommEndationS Thi
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‘how’). this chapter also consi
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and so do not figure much in the go
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tackling global challenges. While s
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10.3.1 Poverty eradication as part
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Box 10.1 Economic and social inclus
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Box 10.2 Youth Employment About 85%
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International development partners
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at the multilateral level, the link
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• South-South Cooperation resourc
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information and evaluation initiati
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for consultative processes to take
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e added later. Equally it would be
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- such as their size and geographic
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(com, 2011). the aid-effectiveness
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Box 10.5 Areas for EU support: Reco
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there will need to be a continuing
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poSt-2015: Global actIon For an Inc
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unrISD (2010) Combating Poverty and
Page 271 and 272:
moore, m. (2011) ‘The Governance
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Chapter 4 birdsall, n. (2012) ‘Th
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Kharas, H. and rogerson, a. (2012)
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Kharas, H. and rogerson, a. (2012)
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cobham, a. (2012) ‘tax Havens and
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lall, r. (2011) ‘reforming Global
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unDp (2012) ‘What Is South-South
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Fine, b. (2009) ‘neoliberalism in
Page 287 and 288:
Sindzingre, a. (2009) ‘The impact
Page 289 and 290:
chanda, r. (2004) Movement and Pres
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Kouadio, E.K., ouattara, Y. and Sou
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un-InStraW and SaIIa (2007) Gender,
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Winters, a. and martins, p. (2004)
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poSt-2015: Global actIon For an Inc
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Goals and Targets (from the Millenn
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Goals and Targets (from the Millenn
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conflict assessment, which also del
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the case study report suggests that
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in rwanda compared to an average of
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large educated class. Immigration w
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administration, with greater autono
Page 313 and 314:
example, in low increases in tax ef
Page 315 and 316:
AnnEx 3 - CORE pRInCIplES FOR InvES
Page 320:
MOBILISING EUROPEAN RESEARCH FOR DE
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Post 2015: Global Action for an Inclusive and Sustainable Future

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