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Post 2015: Global Action for an Inclusive and Sustainable Future

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example, in low increases in tax ef<strong>for</strong>ts (0.6%<br />

of GDp between 2005 <strong>an</strong>d 2011, excluding the<br />

mining sector) despite the considerable growth<br />

rates. between July 2001 <strong>an</strong>d July 2012, peru has<br />

had 12 different cabinets, with <strong>an</strong> average life sp<strong>an</strong><br />

of 11 months. public institutions are needed to<br />

regulate industry <strong>an</strong>d coordinate multiple actors<br />

<strong>an</strong>d agencies so that such regulations are properly<br />

applied. there is a lack of support among the ruling<br />

elite <strong>for</strong> economic tr<strong>an</strong>s<strong>for</strong>mation based on creating<br />

jobs among the poorer sections of the population,<br />

<strong>an</strong>d tackling inequalities by promoting linkages<br />

between economic sectors <strong>an</strong>d regions. at the same<br />

time there is a fairly strong consensus among the<br />

political elite, economists <strong>an</strong>d technocrats on the<br />

need to safeguard macroeconomic stability.<br />

the nature of the political settlement appears<br />

primarily to accommodate the urb<strong>an</strong> middle classes<br />

<strong>an</strong>d while this does allow <strong>for</strong> some redistributive<br />

policies it also incorporates a wariness of a return<br />

to left-le<strong>an</strong>ing government:<br />

“In the first decade of the 2000s, redistributive<br />

policies relied on a “trickle-down” effect <strong>an</strong>d social<br />

policies were implemented through programs that<br />

aimed increasingly at assisting the extremely poor.<br />

At the same time the middle class grew, <strong>an</strong>d with it<br />

the notion that hard-earned assets could be lost if<br />

left-le<strong>an</strong>ing political groups were to win <strong>an</strong> election”<br />

(peru case study)<br />

there are social conflicts, but the most enduring<br />

ones seem to be caused in rural areas by the presence<br />

of extractive industries (mining, gas <strong>an</strong>d oil). these<br />

are areas where there remain high levels of poverty<br />

<strong>an</strong>d a concentration of indigenous populations that<br />

have traditionally been excluded from the benefits<br />

of economic growth <strong>an</strong>d social policies. apparently,<br />

these conflicts <strong>an</strong>d the prospects of more to come<br />

are too remote from the centre of power <strong>an</strong>d too<br />

fragmented to threaten the political survival of the<br />

ruling coalitions. the threats to political survival<br />

posed by challenges to the ecological sustainability<br />

of, among other things current extraction policies<br />

<strong>an</strong>d practices, may create pressures <strong>for</strong> a ch<strong>an</strong>ge in<br />

the policies that are given priority.<br />

4.2 Role <strong>an</strong>d import<strong>an</strong>ce of international links<br />

Economic growth, trade <strong>an</strong>d investment<br />

peru’s economic growth of up to 7% per year<br />

between 2005 <strong>an</strong>d 2011 is among the highest in<br />

latin america. this growth is largely due to the<br />

extractive industry, primarily explained by china’s<br />

need to import minerals. Foreign investments<br />

increased from $5 billion in 1995 to $25 billion<br />

in 2011, of which 20% flowed into the extractive<br />

sector, which now represents 14% of GDp. In 2011,<br />

mining represented 24% of total FDI, fin<strong>an</strong>ce 18%,<br />

communications 17% <strong>an</strong>d industry 14%. the recent<br />

cycle of economic exp<strong>an</strong>sion in the extractive sector<br />

has been accomp<strong>an</strong>ied by new environmental<br />

policies, <strong>for</strong> example regarding environmental<br />

m<strong>an</strong>agement systems. the process leading to<br />

these measures benefited from international<br />

normative <strong>an</strong>d regulatory frameworks relating to<br />

environmental protection.<br />

most new jobs were created in high-productivity<br />

<strong>an</strong>d capital-intensive sectors, whereas<br />

unemployment <strong>an</strong>d underemployment are found<br />

mainly in low-productivity sectors. Export favours<br />

traditional products (mainly raw materials), which<br />

represent 78% of total exports, making the sector<br />

vulnerable to price fluctuations on global markets.<br />

International trade increased more rapidly th<strong>an</strong><br />

economic activity between 2000 <strong>an</strong>d 2011, with<br />

total exports <strong>an</strong>d imports rising from 27% of GDp<br />

to 47% of GDp. raw materials topped the export<br />

list <strong>an</strong>d capital goods <strong>an</strong>d inputs represented more<br />

th<strong>an</strong> 80% of total imports. In 2011, the Eu was the<br />

destination of 22% of peruvi<strong>an</strong> exports <strong>an</strong>d the<br />

origin of 15% of peru’s imports. the case study<br />

highlights that the Eu is <strong>an</strong> ‘import<strong>an</strong>t player in<br />

the peruvi<strong>an</strong> economy’. the recently signed Free<br />

trade agreement (Fta) between the Eu <strong>an</strong>d peru<br />

gives confidence that trade flows will continue to<br />

increase despite Europe’s ‘short-term problems’.<br />

poSt-<strong>2015</strong>: <strong>Global</strong> actIon For <strong>an</strong> IncluSIvE <strong>an</strong>D SuStaInablE FuturE<br />

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