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Post 2015: Global Action for an Inclusive and Sustainable Future

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traditional donors <strong>an</strong>d investors, china provides<br />

fin<strong>an</strong>cing with (almost) no political, economic,<br />

environmental or hum<strong>an</strong> rights strings attached. 99<br />

this less stringent approach has been instrumental<br />

in the chinese penetration of markets such as Sud<strong>an</strong><br />

<strong>an</strong>d Zimbabwe, which Western investors have<br />

tended to shun. Second, since chinese investments<br />

in infrastructure often use chinese workers, these<br />

do not necessarily create jobs <strong>for</strong> afric<strong>an</strong>s. Finally,<br />

there is a risk that afric<strong>an</strong> countries are seeing their<br />

natural resources drain away without extracting<br />

sufficient profit from chinese deals. For example,<br />

there is some evidence to suggest that countries<br />

such as <strong>an</strong>gola, congo <strong>an</strong>d nigeria are not using<br />

their resources to leverage better deals with china<br />

as a me<strong>an</strong>s to promote their own development<br />

(Haroz, 2011).<br />

8.4 The challenges faced by LICs<br />

<strong>an</strong>d LDCs<br />

lIcs <strong>an</strong>d lDcs generally face multiple economic<br />

challenges. these tend to be production-related<br />

(low levels of technological capabilities), physical<br />

(weak infrastructure), institutional (lack of effective<br />

policies) <strong>an</strong>d hum<strong>an</strong> (lack of skills <strong>an</strong>d knowledge).<br />

as a result, these countries continue to account <strong>for</strong><br />

small shares of economic output in relation to their<br />

population size (see Figure 8.1). the recent phase of<br />

globalisation 100 has seen some countries converge<br />

with already industrialised countries in terms of per<br />

capita income, while m<strong>an</strong>y lIcs <strong>an</strong>d lDcs remain<br />

stuck in a low-level equilibrium or poverty trap.<br />

moreover, m<strong>an</strong>y lIcs <strong>an</strong>d lDcs remain dependent<br />

on agricultural <strong>an</strong>d other commodity exports, which<br />

c<strong>an</strong>not alone sustain dynamic growth (collier,<br />

2007; Gore, 2009; mitchell <strong>an</strong>d Farringdon, 2006;<br />

Sindzringre, 2009). this section discusses these<br />

issues in relation to trade <strong>an</strong>d investment.<br />

8.4.1 Limited trade <strong>an</strong>d investment basket<br />

between 2003 <strong>an</strong>d 2009, lDcs as a group achieved<br />

rapid trade growth. During this period, lDc<br />

exports grew at <strong>an</strong> average <strong>an</strong>nual rate of 14%,<br />

about twice the rate of growth of world trade (Wto,<br />

2010). much of this was driven by commodities,<br />

which accounted <strong>for</strong> about 75% of lDc exports.<br />

a few lDcs have succeeded in diversifying their<br />

exports away from commodities, mainly to clothing<br />

<strong>an</strong>d tourism. there is also increasing South–<br />

South trade. In 2009, 50% of lDc exports were to<br />

Southern countries, which were also the source <strong>for</strong><br />

a similar share of lDc imports (unctaD, 2011).<br />

the total value of FDI to lIcs <strong>an</strong>d lDcs in 2009<br />

was about $45.2 billion. this fell to $42.2 billion<br />

in 2010 <strong>an</strong>d then rose to $46.7 billion in 2011. but<br />

<strong>for</strong> lDcs overall, <strong>an</strong>d SSa in particular, FDI flows<br />

have been declining since 2009. Furthermore, the<br />

global fin<strong>an</strong>cial crisis <strong>an</strong>d the eurozone crisis have<br />

dampened overall global flows. the slow-down in<br />

FDI has been most acutely felt in lIcs, although<br />

unctaD (2012a) notes a marginal increase to the<br />

broadly categorised ‘structurally weak, vulnerable<br />

<strong>an</strong>d small economies’, which include lDcs,<br />

l<strong>an</strong>dlocked developing countries <strong>an</strong>d SIDS. 101<br />

the flow of FDI to lDcs tends to be concentrated<br />

in a few resource-rich countries, which distorts<br />

the lDc average. In <strong>an</strong>gola alone, in 2011, large<br />

divestments <strong>an</strong>d repayments of intra-comp<strong>an</strong>y lo<strong>an</strong>s<br />

by investors reduced FDI inflows to lDcs overall to<br />

the lowest level in five years. mining, petroleum <strong>an</strong>d<br />

quarrying remain the three top sectors attracting<br />

FDI in lDcs, although investment in utilities,<br />

tr<strong>an</strong>sport <strong>an</strong>d storage is rising (unctaD, 2012a).<br />

this me<strong>an</strong>s that commodities are driving much<br />

of the increase in trade <strong>an</strong>d investment flows.<br />

although the increase in global commodity prices<br />

99 m<strong>an</strong>y developing countries prefer donors not to impose conditions.<br />

100 the most recent phase of globalisation beg<strong>an</strong> in the 1980s, which some authors (e.g. Fine, 2009) argue has been characterised by the more salient<br />

feature of fin<strong>an</strong>cialisation.<br />

101 most of the lIcs fall into one or more of these un categories.<br />

poSt-<strong>2015</strong>: <strong>Global</strong> actIon For <strong>an</strong> IncluSIvE <strong>an</strong>D SuStaInablE FuturE<br />

Between 2003 <strong>an</strong>d<br />

2009, LDCs as a<br />

group achieved<br />

rapid trade<br />

growth. LDC<br />

exports grew at<br />

<strong>an</strong> average <strong>an</strong>nual<br />

rate of 14%, about<br />

twice the rate of<br />

growth of world<br />

trade. Much of<br />

this was driven by<br />

commodities.<br />

147

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