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Post 2015: Global Action for an Inclusive and Sustainable Future

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fair access to <strong>an</strong>d equitable distribution of benefits<br />

from trade to all particip<strong>an</strong>ts, which is not the case.<br />

addressing the economic vulnerabilities<br />

associated with commodity dependence will<br />

require combining the adv<strong>an</strong>tages of leveraging the<br />

power of commodity markets while also addressing<br />

its underlying causes. Since commodity prices are<br />

determined in world commodity exch<strong>an</strong>ges, it is<br />

critical to examine the factors behind price dynamics<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e designing policy responses to counteract <strong>an</strong>y<br />

negative impacts on development. these include<br />

two interrelated phenomena: (a) structural ch<strong>an</strong>ges<br />

affecting dem<strong>an</strong>d–supply fundamentals; <strong>an</strong>d (b) the<br />

increasing fin<strong>an</strong>cialisation of commodity markets.<br />

based on <strong>an</strong>alysis of the available evidence of these<br />

factors as determin<strong>an</strong>ts of the types of vulnerability<br />

associated with commodity dependence, both <strong>for</strong><br />

exports <strong>an</strong>d imports, two potential areas <strong>for</strong> policy<br />

measures are:<br />

• Schemes to reduce excessive price volatility in<br />

world commodity exch<strong>an</strong>ges; <strong>an</strong>d<br />

• Contingent facilities <strong>for</strong> mitigating income<br />

shocks from volatility in commodity prices.<br />

the Eu, along with other international actors, could<br />

play both a direct <strong>an</strong>d <strong>an</strong> indirect role regarding such<br />

measures. Indeed, the Eu could use its <strong>for</strong>midable<br />

weight at the multilateral level as a me<strong>an</strong>s to engage<br />

other relev<strong>an</strong>t actors. Since such issues are also<br />

related to investment <strong>an</strong>d fin<strong>an</strong>ce, the Eu <strong>an</strong>d other<br />

development actors should consider such traderelated<br />

<strong>an</strong>d macroeconomic vulnerabilities within the<br />

broader context of existing fragilities that need to be<br />

addressed in the current globalisation process.<br />

(b) Reducing price volatility<br />

In order to dispel ‘excess’ volatility from markets<br />

by inducing a swift ch<strong>an</strong>ge in trading behaviour<br />

away from destabilising ‘noise’ trading by purely<br />

fin<strong>an</strong>cial investors, a new generation of schemes<br />

could include, <strong>for</strong> example, a virtual reserve<br />

holding of individual commodities or a multitier<br />

tr<strong>an</strong>saction tax. these are referred to here<br />

as ‘virtual’ interventions since they relate to<br />

commitments made by a global public agency to<br />

contest moves by noise traders either by entering<br />

into counterbal<strong>an</strong>cing contracts in futures markets<br />

or by imposing a finely differentiated tr<strong>an</strong>saction<br />

tax in light of market development. these <strong>an</strong>d<br />

other innovative schemes to counter the costs of<br />

global commodity market volatility would require<br />

political will <strong>an</strong>d strong government commitment<br />

to achieve the more sustainable development of<br />

commodity markets.<br />

recent discussions in this respect include the<br />

need to create the right investment frameworks<br />

<strong>an</strong>d incentives to ch<strong>an</strong>nel fin<strong>an</strong>ce from commodity<br />

markets into the productive sector. Some proposals<br />

under discussion <strong>an</strong>d being led by the common<br />

Fund <strong>for</strong> commodities (cFc) include a public–<br />

private initiative on market volatility intended to<br />

‘address the sustainability impact of commodity<br />

derivative trading’. Some of the agreed principles<br />

emerging from this process include recognition 123<br />

that (a) investment remains the only sustainable way<br />

to address the fundamental causes of global volatility<br />

in commodity markets; (b) there is considerable<br />

scope <strong>for</strong> b<strong>an</strong>ks to be involved in improving the<br />

coordination <strong>an</strong>d effectiveness of international<br />

measures to support poor people affected by<br />

volatility in commodity markets; <strong>an</strong>d (c) b<strong>an</strong>ks<br />

have the instruments <strong>an</strong>d experience necessary to<br />

make fin<strong>an</strong>cial resources available <strong>for</strong> investment in<br />

physical commodity-production capacity.<br />

these principles to some extent refine the policy<br />

debate on how to address the issue of fin<strong>an</strong>cialisation<br />

in commodity markets. they recognise that futures<br />

markets are by definition fin<strong>an</strong>cial, which me<strong>an</strong>s<br />

that the question is not the penetration of fin<strong>an</strong>cial<br />

123 taken from cFc un commodities project context <strong>an</strong>d Scope <strong>for</strong> agreement, available at: http://www.common-fund.org/uploads/tx_cfc/<br />

cFc_un_commodities_project_context_<strong>an</strong>d_Scope_<strong>for</strong>_agreement_Final.pdf.<br />

poSt-<strong>2015</strong>: <strong>Global</strong> actIon For <strong>an</strong> IncluSIvE <strong>an</strong>D SuStaInablE FuturE<br />

Since commodity<br />

prices are<br />

determined in<br />

world commodity<br />

exch<strong>an</strong>ges,<br />

it is critical to<br />

examine the<br />

factors behind<br />

price dynamics<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e designing<br />

policy responses<br />

to counteract <strong>an</strong>y<br />

negative impacts<br />

on development.<br />

165

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