I527-290 ESRIF Final Report (WEB).indd - European Commission

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6 5. Working Group: Foresight and Scenarios . ................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 5.1 Introduction . ................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 5.2 Foresight for research and innovation policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..................... 118 5.3 State of the art scan of recent security related foresight studies . .............................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 5.4 The context scenarios - working with the other WGs . ....... . . . . . . 124 5.5 Knowledge and competence gaps ....................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 5.6 Research needs and priorities . .................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 5.7 Conclusions . .................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 6. Working Group: CBRN . ....................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 6.1 Introduction . ................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 6.2 Threats and challenges . .............................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 6.3 Capabilities and gaps . .................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 6.4 Research & Innovation Priorities . ............................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 6.5 Recommendations and Conclusions . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 7. Working Group: Situation Awareness and the Role of Space ... 153 7.1 Introduction . ................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 7.2 Situation Awareness .................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 7.3 The role of space . ........................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 7.4 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .................................................................................... 166 8. Working Group: Identifi cation of People and Assets . .............. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169 8.1 Introduction . .................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169 8.2 Threats and challenges . ............................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 8.3 Capabilities and gaps . .................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 178 8.4 Research needs and priorities . .................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 187 8.5 Conclusion . ...................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190 ANNEXES I Terms of Reference for the establishment and operation of the European Security Research II and Innovation Forum . ................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 Roadmap table . .............................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 III List of ESRIF Members (November 2009) . ............................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279 IV Working Group References and Annexes ............................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 ESRIF FINAL REPORT - Table of Content 9. Working Group: Innovation Issues . .............................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193 9.1 Introduction . ................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193 9.2 Challenges . ...................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 194 9.3 Needs . ................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195 9.4 Priorities . ........................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 9.5 Conclusions . .................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 10. Working Group: Governance and Coordination . .................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 10.1 Introduction . ................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 10.2 Analysis of the Situation . ............................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 10.3 Findings & Gaps . ............................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211 10.4 Solutions and Priorities . ............................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219 10.5 Conclusions . .................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225 11. Working Group: Human and Societal Dynamics of Security . ... . . 227 11.1 Introduction . ................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 227 11.2 Challenges, needs and priorities for research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .................... 228 11.3 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .................................................................................... 241
Page 1 and 2: ESRIF FINAL REPORT DECEMBER 2009
Page 3: Foreword Dragutin Mate, Chairman of
Page 9: ESRIF FINAL REPORT PART 1
Page 12 and 13: 12 and interdependence magnify the
Page 14 and 15: 14 The cohesion of European society
Page 16 and 17: 16 A stringent and comprehensive in
Page 19 and 20: 3. European Security Research and I
Page 21 and 22: 3.2 Securing people Ideally in a se
Page 23 and 24: COUNTERING DIFFERENT MEANS OF ATTAC
Page 25 and 26: misuse are nano-technology, artifi
Page 27 and 28: 3.8 Security of Critical Infrastruc
Page 29 and 30: In addition, society needs basic ma
Page 31 and 32: 3.10 Border Security The main focus
Page 33 and 34: 3.12 Information and Communication
Page 35 and 36: 4. Implementing the ESRIA 4.1 Gover
Page 37 and 38: 4.2.2 Exploiting knowledge synergie
Page 39 and 40: 5. Recommendations 5.1 Common Europ
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Page 46 and 47: 46 “Missions” and thematic area
Page 48 and 49: 48 ESRIF FINAL REPORT - PART 2 •
Page 50 and 51: 50 For each of these nine topics we
Page 52 and 53: 52 Mobilisation of citizens for en
Page 54 and 55: 54 WARNING SYSTEMS AND NEW INTERVEN
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56 The threats of cyber criminality
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58 In table 2 the research needs fo
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60 1.2.3.2 Required capabilities Sp
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62 Although the use of forensic sci
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64 INVESTIGATION WITH RESPECT TO CR
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66 A special challenge is to design
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68 accessible for many users with d
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70 In earlier stages of work, the r
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72 The assumptions of future risks
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74 available or deployed. Procedura
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76 SEAMLESS TRACKING / TRACING/LOCA
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78 INCIDENT RESPONSE/ EFFECTS MITIG
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80 "HARD" PROTECTION OF SITES Deve
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82 2.4 Priority Research Needs Whil
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84 seriously to address the politic
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86 2.6.4 Information Technologies a
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88 ESRIF FINAL REPORT - PART 2 •
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90 Under certain scenarios, Europe
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92 Border Checks The following clas
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94 Furthermore the various actors h
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96 The challenge of processing info
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98 Systems and services • Advanc
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102 CRISIS MANAGEMENT ASPECTS ELABO
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104 Operational paradigms of Crisis
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106 Humanitarian crises have strong
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108 COORDINATION AND COOPERATION Ta
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110 According to the synthesis of t
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112 4.3.1 Priorities for Research a
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114 7 CO-OPERATION The stated growi
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116 ADEQUACY AND LIMITS OF VALIDITY
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120 The conclusions for ESRIA of WG
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122 5.2.2 Positioning foresight in
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124 4. National Intelligence Counci
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126 Level of outside participation
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128 Note that the criteria defi ne
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130 Many mechanisms like climate ch
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132 in the decision-making process.
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134 The interlinkages between these
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136 Of the ESRIA areas particular W
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138 The approach adopted by the wor
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140 6.2 Threats and challenges 6.2.
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142 is used, some can still be very
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144 Moreover, surveillance tools fo
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146 Since it is quite evident that
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148 Decontamination and remediation
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150 Design of toolbox for monitori
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152 Improved COLPRO systems Devel
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154 6.5 Recommendations and Conclus
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156 Risks and responses to such ris
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158 With the aim of covering the th
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160 depicted in Figure 2, which is
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162 Reliable sensor high-throughput
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164 7.2.4 Research needs and priori
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166 SPACE ENVIRONMENT AND SPACE WEA
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168 7.3.1 Space as infrastructure T
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172 The WG8 members identifi ed 5 m
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174 In parallel, with the developme
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176 8.2.1.4 Citizens’ trust in id
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178 Lower costs: with automated ga
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180 uncoordinated regulatory framew
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182 Behaviour analysis One possible
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184 Currently, Belgium’s ID uses
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186 We need to develop appropriate
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188 This situation is due to the la
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190 8.4.1.2 Improve trust in biomet
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192 Mobile devices to check the id
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196 9.2 Challenges Already in its i
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198 specifi cations are crucial in
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200 “This will require technical
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202 9.3.1.6 Fostering a culture whi
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204 The European technology platfor
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206 Explore the potential role of
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208 Security of the citizen Secur
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210 1) Thematic thrust (main subjec
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212 A comparative counting (lower h
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214 and “artefacts”, security r
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216 “-” in front of an entry in
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218 a common European idea of secur
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220 10.3.2 Analysis of Security Cap
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222 Employ techniques, materiel an
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224 10.4.3 Common Security Capabili
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226 These are shown in the followin
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228 In the meanwhile, public and pr
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230 As the fi gure below shows, cha
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232 action. Similarly, actors may r
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234 is how the new media in combina
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236 11.2.3 Violent radicalisation U
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238 9. Linkages with gangs and yout
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240 5. Conceptual ground work is re
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242 In the interim, a related resea
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248 3. Structure ESRIF comprises:
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250 8. Logistics The operations of
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252 ESRIF FINAL REPORT - ANNEX I
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254 Weight / Cost Estimate (small2-
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282 ESRIF FINAL REPORT - ANNEX II
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284 HADJITODOROV Stefan (Bulgaria)
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286 List of former ESRIF Members DE
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288 Transversal Coordinator: McCART
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290 MARHIC Ronan MARIN Nelson MARIN
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292 ESRIF FINAL REPORT - ANNEX III
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294 European Commission, DGs RELEX,
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296 Preparatory Action on the enhan
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298 IFRAH Laurence, Fraude identita
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300 BABUL LTC Michael J., “No Sil
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302 Working Group 10: Governance an
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304 Annex 2: Evidence of the Four C
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306 IT IT + Internal security and p
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308 cultures - Information and infr
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310 technical-scientific knowledge
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312 scientific knowledge for compre
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314 IV / Action repertories III / C
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316 Annex 3: National Matrix: Prior
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318 Annex 4: European Matrix This m
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320 Annex 5: Abbreviations This rep
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322 EU-COMMISSIONED STUDIES ON RADI
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I527-290 ESRIF Final Report (WEB).indd - European Commission

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