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epr-method (2003) - IAEA Publications - International Atomic Energy ...

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A7 - ASSESSING THE INITIAL PHASE Threat category Responsibility<br />

Elements I II III IV V O L N<br />

73<br />

Those responsible for assessments and management should be aware that dose projections are very<br />

uncertain and that for severe emergencies making accurate projections of off-site doses may be<br />

impossible. They should expect differences in results from models run by different organizations and<br />

should not use these projections as the sole basis for protective actions.<br />

Arrange for monitoring and sampling by teams consistent with Appendix 15, response in times consistent<br />

with Appendix 10 and a strategy consistent with Refs. [18] and [27].<br />

Provide precalculated default OILs for assessing environmental data following a release, and techniques<br />

to revise OILs according to the actual radionuclide mix of the release consistent with Ref. [18]. Preclude<br />

frequent changes to OILs in order to maintain confidence and stability in the decision making process.<br />

Plans should identify responsibilities for deciding whether or not to revise OILs and the criteria to be<br />

used to decide on whether a change is required.<br />

Arrange to conduct monitoring of people within the emergency zones to determine if decontamination or<br />

medical follow-up is warranted. Include criteria for initiation of decontamination and medical follow-up.<br />

The criteria should be tied to potential health effects (e.g. doses approaching deterministic effect<br />

thresholds) and be consistent with other criteria (e.g. criteria for relocation). For facilities such as<br />

nuclear power plants with the potential for large radioiodine releases, establish a means of measuring<br />

thyroid radioiodine intake (e.g. by direct gamma measurement next to the thyroid).<br />

Arrange to analyse the environmental monitoring data and produce information useful for decision<br />

making (e.g. maps). Ensure that the results of different monitoring organizations are comparable,<br />

including those in other States. As soon as possible, all organizations (facility, local, national, and<br />

international) conducting environmental monitoring and analysis should consolidate their efforts and<br />

form a single organization co-located at a radiation monitoring and assessment centre- RMAC (see<br />

Appendix 14).<br />

The assessment staff should be aware of the great uncertainties in assessment early in an emergency and<br />

the need to make best estimate assessments, and of the problems that can arise from inappropriate<br />

pessimistic assumptions.

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