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Child Poverty in Mozambique. A Situation and Trend ... - Unicef

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Table 2.1: Progress towards the MDGs<br />

Target for 2015<br />

Halve the proportion of people liv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> extreme poverty<br />

Halve the proportion of people who suffer from hunger<br />

Ensure that all boys <strong>and</strong> girls are able to complete a<br />

full course of primary school<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Elim<strong>in</strong>ate gender disparity <strong>in</strong> all levels of education<br />

Reduce by two-thirds the under-five mortality rate<br />

Reduce by three quarters the maternal mortality ratio<br />

Have halted <strong>and</strong> begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS<br />

Have halted <strong>and</strong> begun to reverse the <strong>in</strong>cidence of<br />

malaria <strong>and</strong> other major diseases<br />

Integrate pr<strong>in</strong>ciples of susta<strong>in</strong>able development <strong>in</strong>to<br />

country policies <strong>and</strong> reverse loss of environmental resources<br />

Halve the proportion of people without access to<br />

safe dr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g water <strong>and</strong> sanitation<br />

Develop further an open, ruled based, predictable,<br />

non-discrim<strong>in</strong>atory trad<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial system<br />

Source: GoM <strong>and</strong> UN 2005<br />

Potentially on Track<br />

Yes<br />

No<br />

No<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

Yes<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

No<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

B. Demographic trends<br />

Official population estimates are produced by the National Institute of Statistics (INE),<br />

based on projections from the 1997 National Census data. 8 These estimates reveal<br />

that the population is strik<strong>in</strong>gly young. In 2006, of a total population of 19.9 million,<br />

half were children (10 million). Figure 2.2 provides an overview of the age structure of<br />

the population broken down by sex <strong>and</strong> by five-year age groups. Population density <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>Mozambique</strong> is very low, at 25.3 <strong>in</strong>habitants per km2 (compared to densities of 109<br />

<strong>and</strong> 39 <strong>in</strong>habitants per km2 <strong>in</strong> neighbour<strong>in</strong>g Malawi <strong>and</strong> South Africa (UN Population<br />

Division, 2006)), <strong>and</strong> there is a relative abundance of arable l<strong>and</strong>. 9 The population<br />

is predom<strong>in</strong>antly rural (69 per cent). At prov<strong>in</strong>cial level, the neighbour<strong>in</strong>g coastal<br />

prov<strong>in</strong>ces of Zambezia <strong>and</strong> Nampula together account for 38 per cent of the total<br />

population <strong>and</strong> 39 per cent of the nation’s children. The size of an average household<br />

is estimated to be 4.7 members <strong>in</strong> urban areas <strong>and</strong> 4.2 members <strong>in</strong> rural areas, giv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

a national average of 4.3 (INE, 2006 IFTRAB).<br />

Figure 2.2: Projected age structure of the population by sex <strong>in</strong> 2006 <strong>and</strong> 2015 (<strong>in</strong> millions)<br />

Males<br />

80+<br />

75 - 79<br />

70 -74<br />

65 -69<br />

60 - 64<br />

55 - 59<br />

50 - 54<br />

45 - 49<br />

40 - 44<br />

35 - 39<br />

30 - 34<br />

25 - 29<br />

20 - 24<br />

15 - 19<br />

10 - 14<br />

5 - 9<br />

0- 5<br />

Females<br />

2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2<br />

Source: INE 2004a<br />

2006 2015 2006 2015<br />

38 CHILDHOOD POVERTY IN MOZAMBIQUE: A SITUATION AND TRENDS ANALYSIS

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