01.08.2021 Views

Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet, 2021a

Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet, 2021a

Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet, 2021a

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

14 Biological <str<strong>on</strong>g>Energy</str<strong>on</strong>g> 234<br />

food energy c<strong>on</strong>sumed [97]. In a sense, we are eating 27 our fossil fuels! [97]: Pfeiffer (2006), Eating Fossil Fuels<br />

It also points to an EROEI of 0.1:1, which is well below break-even. 27: ...oratleast subsidizing the energy<br />

Obviously in times prior to fossil fuels, when we used human <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

animal labor in our agricultural pursuits, an EROEI less than 1:1<br />

would spell starvati<strong>on</strong>: more energy going in than was recouped<br />

from the l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>. Today, fossil fuels give us a temporary excepti<strong>on</strong>, so<br />

Table 14.2: Summary: EROEI of biofuels.<br />

that we can afford to lose useful energy in the bargain, turning 10<br />

units of fossil fuel energy into <strong>on</strong>e unit that we eat. We might view Source<br />

EROEI<br />

this as a negative aspect of the Green Revoluti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

14.3.2 EROEI of Biofuels<br />

Various estimates exist for the EROEI for different biofuels. Unfortunately<br />

for the U.S., the corn ethanol industry is estimated to have an EROEI<br />

of anywhere from 0.8:1 to 1.6:1. The former would mean it’s a net loss<br />

of energy, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> that we would have more energy available if we did not<br />

spend any of it trying to get ethanol from corn. Biodiesel (a n<strong>on</strong>-ethanol<br />

biofuel produced from vegetable oils or animal fat) is estimated to have<br />

an EROEI of 1.3:1 [98]. Sugar cane may be anywhere from 0.8:1 to 10:1<br />

[99] (see Table 14.2).<br />

To explore an example of how this all plays out, let’s say that corn ethanol<br />

provides an EROEI of 1.2:1—in the middle of the estimated range. This<br />

means that in order to get 1.2 units of energy out, <strong>on</strong>e unit has to go in.<br />

Or for every 6 units out, 5 go in. If we use that same resource as the energy<br />

input—in other words, we use corn ethanol as the energy input to grow,<br />

harvest, distill, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> distribute corn ethanol—then we get to “keep” <strong>on</strong>e<br />

unit for external use out of every 6 units produced. For the U.S. to replace<br />

its 37 qBtu/yr oil habit with corn ethanol, it would take six times this<br />

much, or 220 qBtu (2.3 × 10 20 J) of corn ethanol producti<strong>on</strong> each year. If<br />

the growing seas<strong>on</strong> is 5 m<strong>on</strong>ths, the solar input is 250 W/m 2 <strong>on</strong> average,<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the corn field is 1.5% efficient at turning sunlight into chemical<br />

energy, then each square meter of corn-l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> produces 4.9 × 10 7 Jof<br />

energy 28 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> we would therefore need about 5 × 10 12 m 2 of l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> for<br />

corn. This is an area 2,200 km <strong>on</strong> a side (Figure 14.4)! The U.S. does not<br />

possess this much arable l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> (estimated at about 30% of this). About<br />

4 × 10 11 m 2 of l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> in the U.S. is currently used for corn producti<strong>on</strong>,<br />

which is 8% of what would be needed. And of course we must still feed<br />

ourselves. In 2018, 31% of U.S. corn producti<strong>on</strong> went into ethanol. We<br />

would somehow need to ramp corn ethanol producti<strong>on</strong> up by a factor of<br />

40 to derive our current liquid fuels from corn in a self-sufficient way.<br />

D<strong>on</strong>’t expect to see this fantasy materialize.<br />

sugar cane ethanol 0.8–10<br />

soy bean biodiesel 5.5<br />

biodiesel 1.3<br />

corn ethanol 0.8–1.6<br />

algae-derived 0.13–0.71<br />

[98]: Pimentel et al. (2005), “Ethanol producti<strong>on</strong><br />

using corn, switchgrass, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> wood;<br />

biodiesel producti<strong>on</strong> using soybean <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

sunflower”<br />

[99]: Murphy et al. (2011), “Order from<br />

Chaos: A Preliminary Protocol for Determining<br />

the EROI of Fuels”<br />

Figure 14.4: Area of corn growth needed to<br />

displace U.S. petroleum dem<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> if at EROEI<br />

of 1.2:1. This is far larger than agriculturally<br />

productive l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> in the U.S.<br />

28: 150 days times 86,400 sec<strong>on</strong>ds per day<br />

times 250 W/m 2 times 0.015 gives Joules<br />

per square meter produced.<br />

Box 14.5: Why Do Corn Ethanol?<br />

If corn ethanol has such low EROEI, why is it pursued in the U.S.?<br />

© 2021 T. W. Murphy, Jr.; Creative Comm<strong>on</strong>s Attributi<strong>on</strong>-N<strong>on</strong>Commercial 4.0 Internati<strong>on</strong>al Lic.;<br />

Freely available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/energy_ambiti<strong>on</strong>s.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!