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Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet, 2021a

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16 Small Players 278<br />

heat to diffuse in, so we’d have to keep moving down, year after year.<br />

This would mean completely replacing the collecti<strong>on</strong> network (whatever<br />

comprises it—this is all fantasy) every few years. It’s ludicrous to imagine<br />

we would endeavor to go to such extremes, plowing through the deep<br />

earth to remove every scrap of thermal energy in a massive never-ending<br />

effort. 9 Such a colossal scheme makes oil drilling seem like child’s play.<br />

9: It would not be surprising if the EROEI<br />

is abysmally low or even a net energy drain.<br />

Granted, as <strong>on</strong>e drills deeper, the thermal energy goes up <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

efficiency increases as ΔT climbs. The result is quadratic, in that the<br />

energy yield 3 km down is 9 times that at 1 km down. 10 At the same time, 10: . . . because the hotter rock c<strong>on</strong>tains 3×<br />

drilling gets more challenging <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> at some point exceeds the current more thermal energy <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> that energy can be<br />

c<strong>on</strong>verted to electricity 3× more efficiently<br />

state of the art. By the time the temperature reaches 150 ◦ C—which is<br />

thought of as a minimum viable temperature for traditi<strong>on</strong>al geothermal<br />

ventures—drilling technology runs into limitati<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

Box 16.2: There Will Be Hype<br />

As l<strong>on</strong>g as an idea is not outright impossible, the world is big enough<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> competitive enough that enterprising individuals will be able to<br />

generate interest <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> investment in ideas that seem viable <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> can be<br />

touted to have great promise. Whether that idea is truly capable of<br />

benefiting humanity as a “good” idea is not fully evaluated. Instead,<br />

if it can make m<strong>on</strong>ey in the short term, 11 then it may get a green light.<br />

So be wary of claims by people or companies whose financial interests<br />

lie in the percepti<strong>on</strong> of success <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> promise. Even media coverage<br />

that should be objective is often quantitatively sloppy, 12 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> has a<br />

much easier time finding enthusiasts willing to devote time <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

quotes than n<strong>on</strong>-enthusiast experts who are too busy pursuing their<br />

own projects to waste time poking holes in shoddy ideas.<br />

11: ...oratleast attract investment<br />

12: . . . lacking a staff physicist<br />

16.1.3 Geothermal Reality<br />

Enough, then, about “pipe dreams” of massive geothermal exploitati<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>on</strong> a planetary scale. Geothermal energy is not all fantasy, as some places<br />

are able to capture significant energy from this resource.<br />

In a few locati<strong>on</strong>s, hot magma is brought near the surface, offering rare<br />

cracks of access to high temperatures. An electrical power plant, as<br />

depicted in Fig. 6.2 (p. 90), does not care particularly where the thermal<br />

energy derives, as l<strong>on</strong>g as it’s hot enough to make steam. The ideal site<br />

has:<br />

◮ magma near the surface—volcanic regi<strong>on</strong>s, for instance;<br />

◮ fractured rock above the magma in which water can flow;<br />

◮ water temperatures in excess of 180 ◦ C (under pressure);<br />

◮ a caprock above the fractured rock, able to trap pressurized steam.<br />

© 2021 T. W. Murphy, Jr.; Creative Comm<strong>on</strong>s Attributi<strong>on</strong>-N<strong>on</strong>Commercial 4.0 Internati<strong>on</strong>al Lic.;<br />

Freely available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/energy_ambiti<strong>on</strong>s.

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