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Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet, 2021a

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Selected AnswersC<br />

Numerical answers are given as ranges or other hints, meant to facilitate checking for gross departures<br />

from the right track, without revealing the precise answer so that shortcuts are discouraged. Questi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

for which the answer is already known (questi<strong>on</strong>s asking to verify an answer), easily validated in the<br />

text, or that are a matter of original thought or opini<strong>on</strong> may not be included here.<br />

The ranges sometimes may be annoyingly large, but think of them as guard rails to prevent a tragic<br />

miscalculati<strong>on</strong> or to catch a fundamental misunderst<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>ing of the underlying c<strong>on</strong>cepts. It can help<br />

catch errors like dividing the wr<strong>on</strong>g things or swapping numerator <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> denominator, or multiplying<br />

when divisi<strong>on</strong> is called for. In many cases, intuiti<strong>on</strong>, or guessing, might lead you already to similar<br />

answers or ranges. With practice, students may be able to anticipate what they think are reas<strong>on</strong>able<br />

ranges for answers. In fact, it is a great practice to think about expectati<strong>on</strong>s before working <strong>on</strong> the<br />

problem.<br />

This appendix, then, might be thought of as an “intuiti<strong>on</strong> implant” that simulates how problems are<br />

for experts. Real life does not provide “answers at the back of the book,” so experts rely <strong>on</strong> experience,<br />

intuiti<strong>on</strong>, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> a sense for “reas<strong>on</strong>able” results to help them underst<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> when they’ve taken a wr<strong>on</strong>g<br />

turn. A successful use of this appendix would help train students to develop their own “comm<strong>on</strong><br />

sense” guard rails.<br />

Chapter 1<br />

4. Between 250 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 300 years<br />

5. Between 250 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 300 years<br />

6. Between 10 18 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 10 20<br />

7. Between 100 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 150<br />

8. More than 10 40<br />

9. Between 5 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 500<br />

10. Later than 23:50<br />

11. Before 12:10 AM<br />

12. Between 10 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 40 years<br />

14. Between 75 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 100 years<br />

15. Between 300 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 500 billi<strong>on</strong><br />

16. It’s not 100 times l<strong>on</strong>ger<br />

17. A few millennia<br />

19. Between 50 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 100 W<br />

20. A smidge higher then boiling<br />

21. Between 200 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 250 K<br />

22. Between 150 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 250 K<br />

23. Between 100 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 275 K<br />

Chapter 2<br />

1. Nearly $100 billi<strong>on</strong><br />

2. 4%: ∼$1 trilli<strong>on</strong>; 5%: more than $100 trilli<strong>on</strong><br />

4. On the low end of advanced countries<br />

5. Between 25 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 100 MJ/$<br />

6. Between 5% <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 50%<br />

7. The text had trading art, singing less<strong>on</strong>s,<br />

therapy, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> financial planning<br />

8. Between 100 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 1,000; Less than 10 to go<br />

9. Between 20 <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> 100 years

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