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Principles of Plant Genetics and Breeding

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154 CHAPTER 9<br />

were drawn follow the normal distributions (these are<br />

assumptions made in order to use this test), the hypothesis<br />

to be tested is:<br />

H 0 : µ 1 =µ 2 (no difference between the two means)<br />

The alternative hypothesis to the null is:<br />

H 1 : µ 1 ≠µ 2 (the two populations are not equal)<br />

This may be tested as follows (for a small sample size):<br />

t = [X ¯ 1 − X¯ 2 ]/s p √[1/n 1 + 1/n 2 ]<br />

where:<br />

s p =√{[(n 1 − 1)s 1 2 + (n2 − 1)s 2 2 ]/n1 + n 2 − 2}<br />

= pooled variance<br />

<strong>and</strong> X¯ 1 <strong>and</strong> X¯ 2 are the means <strong>of</strong> samples 1 <strong>and</strong> 2,<br />

respectively.<br />

Example A plant breeder wishes to compare the seed<br />

size <strong>of</strong> two navy bean cultivars, A <strong>and</strong> B. Samples are<br />

drawn <strong>and</strong> the 100 seed weight obtained. The following<br />

data were compiled:<br />

H 0 : µ 1 =µ 2<br />

H 1 : µ 1 ≠µ 2<br />

Cultivar<br />

A B<br />

n 10 8<br />

X ¯ 21.2 19.5 (g/100 seeds)<br />

s 1.3 1.1 (g/100 seeds)<br />

where:<br />

t = [X ¯ 1 − X¯ 2 ]/s p √[1/n 1 + 1/n 2 ]<br />

s p = [(10 − 1)(1.3) 2 + (8 − 1)(1.1) 2 ]/(10 + 8 − 2)<br />

= [9(1.69) + 7(1.21)]/16<br />

= [15.21 + 8.47]/16<br />

= 23.68/16<br />

= 1.48<br />

t = 10 − 8<br />

= 2/(1.48 × 0.47)<br />

= 0.70<br />

= 2/0.70<br />

t (calculated) = 2.857<br />

at α 0.05 :<br />

df = 10 + 8 − 2 = 16<br />

t (tabulated) = 1.746<br />

Since calculated t exceeds tabulated t, we declare a<br />

significant difference between the two cultivars for seed<br />

size (measured as 100 seed weight).<br />

Analysis <strong>of</strong> variance<br />

Frequently, the breeder needs to compare more than<br />

two cultivars. In yield trails, several advanced genotypes<br />

are evaluated at different locations <strong>and</strong> in different years.<br />

The t-test is not applicable in this circumstance but its<br />

extension, the analysis <strong>of</strong> variance (ANOVA), is used<br />

instead. ANOVA allows the breeder to analyze measurements<br />

that depend on several kinds <strong>of</strong> effects, <strong>and</strong> which<br />

operate simultaneously, in order to decide which kinds<br />

<strong>of</strong> effects are important, <strong>and</strong> to estimate these effects. As<br />

a statistical technique, ANOVA is used to obtain <strong>and</strong><br />

partition the total variation in a data set according to<br />

the sources <strong>of</strong> variation present <strong>and</strong> then to determine<br />

which ones are important. The test <strong>of</strong> significance <strong>of</strong> an<br />

effect is accomplished by the F-test. The results <strong>of</strong> an<br />

analysis <strong>of</strong> variance are presented in the ANOVA table,<br />

the simplest form being as follows:<br />

Source <strong>of</strong><br />

variation df SS MS F<br />

Treatment k − 1 SS Tr MS Tr = SS Tr /k − 1 MS Tr /MS E<br />

Error N − k SS E MS E = SS E /N − k<br />

Total N − 1 SS T<br />

“Treatment” is the most important source <strong>of</strong> variance<br />

caused by the applied treatments (e.g., different cultivars,<br />

locations, years, etc.). The error is unaccounted<br />

variation.<br />

In more detailed analysis, interaction effects between<br />

treatments are accounted for in the analysis. Examples<br />

<strong>of</strong> ANOVA for G × E interaction analysis are provided<br />

in Chapter 23. ANOVA is usually done on the computer<br />

using s<strong>of</strong>tware such as MSTAT <strong>and</strong> SAS. As<br />

previously stated, ANOVA permits the breeder to<br />

h<strong>and</strong>le more than two genotypes (or variables) in one<br />

analysis. The t-test is not efficient for comparing more<br />

than two means. Commonly used tests to separate means<br />

under such conditions include the least significant<br />

difference (LSD) <strong>and</strong> Duncan’s multiple range test<br />

(DMRT).

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