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"Wow! How do you know all this stuff?"<br />
"Hey, I didn't get to be <strong>the</strong> head of <strong>the</strong> world's largest energy trading company just by<br />
being a crook."<br />
"So, wait. He's taking phony numbers, using <strong>the</strong>m in a phony way, to make a phony<br />
point?"<br />
"Yeah. You got this guy's number? I got a little start-up company cooking here, and I<br />
need a CFO who's willing to, you know, push <strong>the</strong> envelope."<br />
"Gee, I don't have <strong>the</strong> number on me."<br />
"Well, when you find it, give me a call on <strong>the</strong> Lear. Margie and I are flying to Aspen<br />
for <strong>the</strong> week. Gotta go."<br />
You know, Ken Lay might have taken a real beating in <strong>the</strong> press, but if you need<br />
someone in a pinch to look at some shady number-crunching, he's a pal.<br />
No sooner had I hung up with Ken, <strong>the</strong>n I got a call from Thomas Mann at <strong>the</strong> Brookings<br />
Institution which (as you may remember) bills itself as an "independent, nonpartisan organization."<br />
Mann confirmed everything Lay had told me, but in a more boring, think tank-y<br />
way. He explained that Kottman had compared apples to oranges, or more precisely, apple<br />
lies to orange lies. An honest chart would compare Reagan's budget proposal to <strong>the</strong> budgets<br />
Congress actually passed. The Hannity/Kottman chart, by contrast, compares Reagan's<br />
budget to total spending. Here's <strong>the</strong> trouble: Once Congress passes a budget, what is actually<br />
spent can vary depending on economic conditions, non-budgetary policy changes, and estimation<br />
errors. This variance in spending cannot be entirely blamed on ei<strong>the</strong>r Congress or <strong>the</strong><br />
White House.<br />
Thanks for <strong>the</strong> fucking civics lesson, Tom.<br />
Okay, let's rewind. Remember how Hannity described his table? He said it proved that<br />
"had all of Reagan's budgets been adopted, federal spending would have been 25 percent less<br />
on a cumulative basis." Even if we ignore all <strong>the</strong> table's faults, this is still a whopper.<br />
If you accept <strong>the</strong> bizarro cumulative percent differences, you can argue that eight<br />
years of Congressional budget increases would have yielded a 24.5 percent increase over <strong>the</strong><br />
last year of Reagan's budget (1989). But Hannity, lyingly, makes <strong>the</strong> claim that it would have<br />
been 25 percent lower over <strong>the</strong> entire period. This is where Hannity left out one of Kottman's<br />
numbers. On Kottman's original table, he included an "average cumulative percentage differ-