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Rapid Assessment for Resilient Recovery and ... - GFDRR

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loss of strength, <strong>and</strong> possibly breakdown of<br />

the asphaltic pavement, also due to inundation.<br />

The field inspections carried out during<br />

the assessment indicated much damage of<br />

this nature, <strong>and</strong> also indicated that concrete<br />

pavements per<strong>for</strong>med much better under<br />

such conditions. In particular <strong>for</strong> the DOH<br />

national <strong>and</strong> provincial roads, the design<br />

process should consider alternative pavement<br />

structures – asphalt <strong>and</strong> concrete<br />

specifically – <strong>and</strong> apply in the analysis a<br />

whole of life cycle comparison, rather than a<br />

simple capital cost approach. The analysis<br />

would take into account, in addition to capital<br />

cost, routine <strong>and</strong> periodic maintenance<br />

costs, deterioration over time, the impact<br />

of flooding on the structure, <strong>and</strong> others as appropriate. It is likely, based on experience<br />

elsewhere, that concrete pavements will be more cost effective when the analysis is done<br />

in this manner, particularly when there is a high likelihood of flood-induced damage. While<br />

it is not possible with the in<strong>for</strong>mation available to suggest which sections of the network<br />

could benefit from adopting concrete pavements, the notional additional capital cost of<br />

constructing 100 km of equivalent two-lane highway with a concrete rather than an asphalt<br />

pavement would be about THB 1 billion. 91<br />

Recommendations <strong>for</strong> <strong>Resilient</strong> <strong>Recovery</strong> <strong>and</strong> Reconstruction<br />

The suggestions presented above, under the heading of preparation, will if adopted result<br />

in resilient recovery <strong>and</strong> reconstruction, <strong>and</strong> in a network that is better able to resist events<br />

of this nature over the medium to long term. The recovery <strong>and</strong> reconstruction activities can<br />

be considered over the following three time frames. Table 36 sets out estimated reconstruction<br />

costs <strong>for</strong> these periods.<br />

Strategy <strong>for</strong> Short-term <strong>Recovery</strong> (up to 6 months)<br />

• Continue rapid restoration of roads, the railway, <strong>and</strong> the Don Muang airport to basic<br />

trafficable condition as they emerge from inundation;<br />

• Prepare designs <strong>and</strong> documentation <strong>for</strong> a rapid commencement of reconstruction<br />

when budget becomes available; <strong>and</strong><br />

• Commence the studies, in consultation with other agencies involved in reconstruction<br />

activities, which will take the suggestions set out above <strong>for</strong> improving damage<br />

resilience from concepts to implementable activities.<br />

Strategy <strong>for</strong> Medium-term <strong>Recovery</strong> <strong>and</strong> Reconstruction<br />

• Procure contracts <strong>and</strong> commence reconstruction activities, based on a sensible<br />

prioritization of works to ensure the most critical works are done first, within a likely<br />

constrained budget situation; <strong>and</strong><br />

91 Based on the estimated costs of concrete <strong>and</strong> asphalt pavements as THB 15-20 million <strong>and</strong> THB 8-10 million respectively,<br />

as advised by DOH.<br />

THAI FLOOD 2011 RAPID ASSESSMENT FOR RESILIENT RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION PLANNING<br />

113

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