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Rapid Assessment for Resilient Recovery and ... - GFDRR

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should be carefully estimated <strong>and</strong> any potential liquidity gap should be managed through<br />

retention, such as reserves <strong>and</strong> contingent credit, <strong>and</strong> risk transfer, such as (parametric)<br />

insurance. 220 A program to develop an improved disaster risk financing strategy would<br />

normally cost around THB 12 million.<br />

Develop an insurance program <strong>for</strong> public assets Public buildings <strong>and</strong> infrastructure<br />

can be particularly affected by natural disasters, particularly floods. The government<br />

could identify <strong>and</strong> prioritize critical public assets <strong>and</strong> develop a catastrophe risk insurance<br />

program <strong>for</strong> those assets. This would ensure that funds would be immediately available<br />

post-disaster <strong>for</strong> their rehabilitation <strong>and</strong>/or reconstruction. This strategy could rely on either<br />

(i) the placement of a group insurance policy <strong>for</strong> key public assets, or (ii) the establishment<br />

of a dedicated fund <strong>for</strong> the insurance of public assets. Developing such an insurance<br />

program would normally cost around THB 12 million.<br />

Promote the property catastrophe risk insurance market <strong>for</strong> private dwellings <strong>and</strong><br />

SMEs The property catastrophe risk insurance market is still under-developed in<br />

Thail<strong>and</strong>. It is estimated that less than one percent of the private dwellings are insured<br />

against natural disasters, <strong>and</strong> particularly floods. The government could support the<br />

development of a property catastrophe risk (re)insurance pool, which would allow domestic<br />

insurers to pool their catastrophe risks <strong>and</strong> access the international market with a single,<br />

more diversified portfolio when it is the most efficient. The government could support<br />

this program by providing (i) technical assistance to the private insurance industry <strong>for</strong> the<br />

preparation of this program, (ii) a line of credit to the newly established pool during its first<br />

years of operations to help it retain some risk, <strong>and</strong> (iii) provide reinsurance capacity of last<br />

resort, beyond the private reinsurance layer, to cover extreme losses. The government<br />

could also assist the private insurance industry in developing new delivery channels to<br />

increase property catastrophe risk insurance penetration among homeowners <strong>and</strong> SMEs.<br />

Based on international experience, there may be a need <strong>for</strong> some compulsion to generate<br />

a stable <strong>and</strong> large enough business <strong>for</strong> the pool. In Turkey <strong>for</strong> example, earthquake<br />

insurance is compulsory <strong>for</strong> urban homeowners. One could also explore a compulsory<br />

catastrophe risk insurance policy <strong>for</strong> mortgages. Assumed costs are THB 30 million <strong>for</strong><br />

the design of this catastrophe risk insurance pool (including operational manual), <strong>and</strong> a<br />

THB 1.5 billion line of credit from the government, to back a total of THB 3 billion in the<br />

pool. No other cash injection from the government would be assumed at this stage. Note<br />

that these figures are very rough estimates that will need to be reviewed during the design<br />

stage.<br />

Promote agricultural insurance Farmers are particularly affected by the floods. Building<br />

on the ongoing rice insurance pilot program, an agricultural insurance pool could be<br />

developed <strong>for</strong> the agricultural sector.<br />

220 Existing government planned spending on the current flooding is still emerging, but includes about THB 20 billion<br />

<strong>for</strong> disaster relief scheme of households (THB 5,000 each), THB 40 billion (US$1.3 billion) under the agricultural disaster<br />

relief scheme (THB 2,222 per rai), up to THB 230 billion of grants/write-offs to the financial sector, THB 5 billion in energy<br />

subsidies, an unknown amount of corporate tax rebates/holidays, <strong>and</strong> the list surely goes on.<br />

THAI FLOOD 2011 RAPID ASSESSMENT FOR RESILIENT RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION PLANNING<br />

253

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